ShareProphets

Saturday 19 August 2017 The one stop source for free breaking news, expert analysis, and videos on AIM and LSE listed shares


16 July 2017, 09:26 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Who has been daft enough to send Tom Winnifrith a lawyer's letter? 92% of you guessed wrongly

Five days ago someone who you would say had  a career death wish, if he had actually got a career, sent me a fascist lawyers letter demanding that I pull all articles on him (going back 40 months) pay him damages, never write about him again and publish a grovelling apology dictated by him. I asked you to guess who has been so daft and 92% of you got it wrong.

16 July 2017, 08:02 | By Comrade Darren Atwater |

Notes from Underground - Hey! You! Get off of my (Sound)cloud

Considering that Tom is on leave and won't be returning to Bearcasts in September, it's interesting to note that two items on the top-10 leaderboard are Tom's Bearcasts. We look forward to their increased popularity when he officially returns to them.

15 July 2017, 14:19 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Invited to become an AIM Casino NED - I'm flattered but I'd rather eat my own toes

I will not name the company but suffice to say its management are greedy bastards who have not delivered. Its assets are shite and its balance sheet a trainwreck. The company and all associated with it, especially the paid shrills, merit a one way trip to the glue factory. With those clues I guess that narrows the list of possible candidates down to about 60% of the stocks on the Casino.

15 July 2017, 13:43 | By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore |

Begbies Traynor – positive full-year results, a counter-cyclical buy

Begbies Traynor (BEG) has announced results for its year ended 30th April 2017 and that “we anticipate a growth in earnings in the new financial year”

15 July 2017, 12:57 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Video: Gold, silver and precious metals - the primary trend is down

In this video from Jordan Roy Byrne, Palisade Capital covers Gold and Silver and where they could go over the very short and medium term. It also covers gold stocks which are trending lower slowly but remain in a massive multi-year bottoming process. Overall the picture is one that will make the bears not the bulls happy bunnies.

15 July 2017, 12:50 | By HotStockRockets |

Collagen Final Results - well telegraphed: BUY

What with all the trading statements and the placing at around the year end, results from Collagen (COS) were pretty well telegraphed. There were no surprises but the CEO statement is upbeat and that seems to have been overlooked.

15 July 2017, 12:36 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

African Potash - will the fraud be thrown off NEX on Monday or will the establishment bend the rules for Lord Hain of Sleaze?

To be thrown off one market because your adviser tired of signing off on lies is understandable, if you are a fucktard in AIM Regulation who does not care about fraud. But, to paraphrase my fellow Anglo Irishman Mr Wilde, to be thrown off two markets for that reason looks like carelessness. And that brings us to the fraud African Potash (AFPO).

15 July 2017, 11:42 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Stuttard’s Septic Seven July update: when will it be two?

Oh boy, it’s time to revisit Marcus Stuttard’s Septic Seven and we have yet another suspension. You will recall that this portfolio of seven diversified stocks from the AIM Casino was chosen for Mr Stuttard so that he might demonstrate his faith is his own regulatory setup at the world’s most successful growth market – but with the caveat that all the stocks selected had been Red Flagged but were still trading. In the week that the LSE washed its hands of any responsibility for fraud it is scores of the doors time, after not quite 10 months.

15 July 2017, 08:10 | By ShareProphets |

Table of shorted AIM shares - week to 14/07/2017

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following shows the shorted AIM shares with positions from 2016 and thus far in 2017 (by net short position %) - and if this position has increased (red), reduced (green) or remained unchanged (black) since last week...

15 July 2017, 08:00 | By Malcolm Stacey |

Its Big Unification Drive Could Crown Kingfisher as a Royal Share.

Hello Share Tickers. Shares in Kingfisher (KGF) have taken a pounding since the end of May. But the current share price of 295p, down from 368p then, may be worth more in my opinion. 

14 July 2017, 16:30 | By Steve Moore |

InterQuest – management-buyout attempted robber barons extend offer again as still struggling on acceptances

The attempted robber barons of the InterQuest (ITQ) management buyout team (at Chisbridge Ltd) have made an “Update on Level of Acceptances and Offer Extension” announcement…

14 July 2017, 16:05 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Plant Health Care- you confuse management greed with incentive

In theory share options are there to incentivise management. There is of course scant evidence that directors who are often grossly overpaid will actually work even harder/be less lazy because they get to have a one way bet on the share price. It may encourage actions that drive short term share spikes but is there a proven link between options and value creation? Er... no. What we we do know is that options are not cost free.

14 July 2017, 15:21 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Why the Federal Reserve is doomed to failure, and soon - and how to hedge against it

Jekyll Island is a real place, off the coast of Georgia, it marks the birthplace formation of the Federal Reserve System. In 1910 a group of wealthy bankers and industrialists met and formulated a plan to take over the money system. In this podcast G Edward Griffin discusses why - 104 years later - the Fed is doomed and will fail.

14 July 2017, 14:27 | By ShareProphets |

Post half-year 2017 update: Top shorted London-listed shares

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, we previously updated at Easter the top shorted London-listed shares HERE. The following updates, showing those with a current reported short position of +7% (those in bold new entrants post the Easter update)...

14 July 2017, 13:59 | By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore |

Fox Marble , shares down on Beaufort appointment - unfair but the RNS is a lie from a brain dead PR firm

Shares in Fox Marble (FOX) fell by almost 10% to 8.25p-8.5p on the back of news that it had appointed Beaufort Securities, Belfort Secs to its legion of admirers, as the company's joint broker. The assumption is that Belfort, whose clients are mainly bucket shops, will be doing a discounted placing. that is not the case, Fox has enough cash to get it through to profitability but Belfort's reputation proceeds it. Fox has gone on the record to say there is no placing.

14 July 2017, 11:39 | By Cynical Bear |

Challenger Acquisitions: Oh, oh, the wheel has finally stopped turning – could this be the end?

Not that Challenger Acquisitions (CHAL) has bothered with an RNS but the wheels are literally falling off here with disastrous news pertaining to its only real asset, the New York Wheel. If you haven’t got out already I suggest you do so now and save a few pennies while you can.

14 July 2017, 11:30 | By Steve Moore |

DX Group – anticipates continuing challenging trading, CEO & FD ‘step down’

Having listed at 100p per share in February 2014 and currently suspended at sub 10p amidst reverse takeover discussions for John Menzies' Distribution division, parcels, mail and logistics group DX (DX.) has now announced “an update on trading, reorganisation of the business and board changes”

14 July 2017, 08:18 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

MySQUAR Limited – was brought to AIM and is audited by PKF Littlejohn – what could possibly go wrong?

In a brochure boasting of its (dis) services to the capital markets, auditor PKF Littlejohn proudly lists some of the clients it has helped bring to London’s capital markets (some of which it also audits). The roll call of shame includes:

14 July 2017, 08:10 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Nomad Cenkos put "on record" re the Mercantile Ports fraud - letter 6, about Mr Gandhi the chairman

When disgraced AIM casino posterboy Mercantile Ports & Logistics (MPL) moves from being a member of the minus 98% club in which it currently sits to being a member of the minus 100% club, I want it known that Nomad Cenkos has been fully aware of massive issues all along and has done nothing other than bank obscene fees. As such we have run a series of letters from a big shareholder to Amber Wood, head of Corporate Governance at Lagos Securities, HERE and HERE and HERE and HERE and HERE.  Now for letter six which puts fragrant Amber and Lagos, Nomad to the Quindell (QPP) fraud as well, on notice for when the final wipeout occurs that they will be held accountable. This letter has also been cc'd to AIM Regulation - I know they are useless but surely even they must realise that Lagos Securities has "form."

14 July 2017, 08:02 | By Malcolm Stacey |

Why Legal & General's Graph Looks Like a Stairway to Heaven

Hello Share Turners. As I’ve mentioned before, I’m a fan of insurance companies. They seem to be the one arm of the financial industry which is really coming along. Firms like RSA (RSA), even with its massive PE ratio, and Admiral (ADM) are paddling forward nicely in the river of capital returns and juicy dividends.

19 minutes ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith: Sign up now for new free share tip service FiveFreeShareTips.com

Following complaints from shamed share ramper Roger Lawson, ADVFN has insisted on a raft of new editorial controls on OneFreeShareTip.com. I did not re-start my life five years ago to be told what I could or could not write. I said no and ADVFN boss Clem Chambers has just said that the website will be shut down. So...our hand is forced ... Welcome to fivefreesharetips.com - we hope you join NOW HERE.

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

New Bulletin Board Moron of the Week contest - sponsored by the fund managers who knew so much better than the dirty plebs on Telit

Just three months ago some of Britain's top fund managers ploughed more than 50 million dollars into a placing organised by AIM dog Telit Communications despite numerous warnings from ourselves and others. But they knew better and anyhow it was other people's money. The shares have collapsed today to less than half the placing price after the most awful set of interims. But the fund managers will still earn Inter City salaries + ( more than 125) and fat bonuses so who cares? Are there any folks in the share world dumber than those fund managers? Er.... 

6 days ago | By Gary Newman |

Kaz Minerals offers a buying opportunity on this dip

Kaz Minerals (KAZ) is a great example of the extent that commodity prices can effect larger miners, and the recovery in copper prices has seen the share price trading at multiples of where it was just 18 months ago.

7 days ago | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Tern announces two fundraisings – how do they compare?

After-hours yesterday AIM-listed Tern plc (TERN) announced two fundraisings – one via Primary Bid for its own coffers and the other a proposed offering via US broker US Capital Partners for its investee company Device Authority. Let’s compare the two.

7 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Telit Communications: what the bears saw, it's about the balance sheet stupid

After my earlier story about the covenant breach which is, I am increasingly sure, a smoking gun, I explore some trends shown by the financial statements of Telit Communications (TCM) that may have been some the red flags that resulted in hedge funds making Telit the most heavily shorted AIM company - this is all about the balance sheet. It also highlights why some type of fund raise, equity or debt, was almost inevitable in May - without it the lights would have been switched off by now.

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

KERBOOM - THE FULL SHOCKING DOSSIER, New fraud revealed - This is why Telit is Globo Mk2 and why it is going to 0p

Over the past week I have shown that Telit Communications (TCM) is run by a man who fled fraud charges in the US but changed his name to avoid investors knowing, I have flagged up banking covenant breaches, red flag strewn interims and an Italian criminal investigation. But that was just an appetizer. Today I give you a full dossier with shocking NEW material, which shows this is Globo Mark 2. it is a fraud and its shares are going to zero.

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Jubilee Platinum deal with Riverfort - death spirals so bad right? NO!

Jubilee Platinum (JLP) last week announced a $50 million funding package to grow its metals recovery business. Oh no Riverfort! Said the snipers. Death spirals, yak, yak, yak. They have it wrong. This deal is, if you read the detail, good news.

6 days ago | By Pizza HardMan Darren Atwater |

Notes from Underground: Here's a buy recommendation: invest in moped shares

London has a real table problem. At least the outdoor ones, and I don't see Mayor Sadiq Khan putting any effort into it.

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Emails sent to AIM Regulation & Nomad Finncap after today's Telit bombshell - this must be suspended 7 AM Monday

This is becoming Globo v2 at a an alarming rate. Today's bombshell dossier on Telit Communications (TCM) nails it as a slam dunk ZERO beyond all doubt. The only way that the shares do not completely crater in the morning is if they are suspended first. And that is exactly what should happen. As such I sent a couple of emails last night. One to tthe head of the Oxymorons Marcus Stuttard and his clueless colleagues, the Keystone Cops at AIM Regulation and the other to the folks at Nomad FinnCap from CEO Sam Smith via head of Corporate Finance Stuart Andrews down to analyst Lorne Daniel with a minor jackal in Corporate Finaance also included in case Andrews is too busy with his polo ponies to read emails on a Sunday. Enjoy!

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Want to Get your cash back on the Paragon Diamonds AIM Casino fraud & bust - legal case now imminent

Investors who have lost £900,000 on the Paragon Diamonds (PRG) fraud and bust are now lined up to sue the hapless Nomad ( Northland with QEs Gerry Beaney and David Hignell overseeing the shambles) as an update from class action litigation arranger Peter Petyt sent this morning, makes clear. However we need more folks who were conned to join the party URGENTLY and for two reasons:

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Telit Communications – Mr Fat Katz unusual remuneration arrangements

After today's complete bombshell which shows that Telit (TCM) is a Globo style fraud and thus utterly worthless what follows may be a tad academic. But, none the less, it is yet another Red Flag which we all should have noticed earlier. Reading through the 2016 annual report of Telit it is apparent that Mr Fat Katz, sorry Mr Oozi Cats, had two unusual remuneration arrangements. 

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast Special - the culture of corporate lying as I say GOTCHA to Telit

Following today's bombshell there can be no doubt that Telit Communications (TCM) is toast. Companies that lie and deceive so industrially in the way I demonstrated earlier HERE will always end in tears.  In this podcast I look at the culture of corporate lying and wrongdoing and what it means for you as an investor. I look at rent boys at BP then at Quindell (QPP), Globo (GBO) and of course, in the main, at Telit

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Telit bombshell Part 2 - its Distributors are oft on a par with those of Globo

Earlier today I published a bombshell that demonstrated that Telit (TCM) was Globo v2 - that is to say a FRAUD heading for zero in short order.. One of the points that caused Globo to unravel within days were its bogus distributors. I covered that in some detail in Part 1 of this series but here in  part 2 I offer up some graphics to make my point. Distributors account for only 30% of claimed sales but if they are bogus then is anything genuine? It is game over for Telit, the Fat Lady is getting ready... Enjoy what follows...

5 days ago | By Malcolm Stacey |

Congratulations! - You're a Share Winner In the 68,000 Club

Hello, Share Jigglers. The stats show that more than 68,000 different people logged onto this magnificent website last week. Darren Atwater, who recorded this amazing count is too modest to comment. So allow me to note that 68,000 is the equivalent of the entire population of a very big town.

6 days ago | By Nigel Somerville |

Ariana – gold price, production news and share price

After my mea culpa of June 20th we have had further news. It has taken a bit of time to digest, but overall it looks positive to me, if rather laced with jam-tomorrow. With the share price finally off its low point of just 1.25p, let’s look through the detail.

6 days ago | By Evil Banksta |

Obtala: When is an equity Issue not an equity issue?

When the cash still hasn’t arrived! Tom Winnifrith gets upset (see) when I write negative comments about Obtala (OBT) and so I’ve kept quiet for a while, but there comes a point when you just have to ask the question: WTF is going on? Since Tom believes in free speech (as well as Obtala) he - as ever - allows me to write here.

5 days ago | By David Scott |

Because it is easy - Kennedy on Space, the World today on debt-binging

In a world in which "we do these things because they're easy", the outcome will eventually be very difficult and painful. On September 12, 1962, President John F. Kennedy gave a famous speech announcing the national goal of going to the moon by the end of the decade.  In a memorable line, Kennedy said we would pursue the many elements of the space program "not because they are easy, but because they are hard.Both nationally and internationally the overriding economic philosophy is currently "we do these things because they're easy" and relying on debt to pay today's expenses is at the top of the list. What's easier than using a line of credit to buy whatever you want or need? Nothing's easier than borrowing money, especially at super-low rates of interest.

19 August 2017, 11:11 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith: Sign up now for new free share tip service FiveFreeShareTips.com

Following complaints from shamed share ramper Roger Lawson, ADVFN has insisted on a raft of new editorial controls on OneFreeShareTip.com. I did not re-start my life five years ago to be told what I could or could not write. I said no and ADVFN boss Clem Chambers has just said that the website will be shut down. So...our hand is forced ... Welcome to fivefreesharetips.com - we hope you join NOW HERE.

19 August 2017, 11:11 | By Pizza Hardman & Hackney Marxist Darren Atwater |

New Bulletin Board Moron of the Week contest - sponsored by some scooter courier shop in Vietnam, #1 distributer for Telit

As seen here, Telit's (TCM) distributers are a, um, diverse lot, including a distributer in Vietnam that appears to be a scooter courier firm. Which is nice, and thank you for sponsoring this week's Bulletin Board Moron search.

18 August 2017, 14:35 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Oozi Cats and the FBI & why Telit could well be tits up within weeks

The failure of the LSE to insist that hapless Nomad FinnCap forces Telit (TCM) to bring in a firm like KPMG to conduct a full forensic review will hurt it even more when this company goes tits up as I noted in a letter to Stock Exchange boss Donald Brydon earlier today HERE.  Two sources tell me that the FBI may have bad news for the Boston fraudster Oozi Cats and his Mrs as I explain in this podcast. But the meat of the podcast is explaining why Telit will go tits up and why that could be within six weeks. Enjoy.

18 August 2017, 08:11 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

A letter to the chairman of the London Stock Exchange - why no independent review of the Telit fraud?

You may remember that at the last AGM of the London Stock Exchange (LSE) its chairman,, Donald Brydon CBE, 'fessed up to being a ShareProphets reader and as we chatted afterwards he came over as a thoroughly decent man. But he has, yet again, been failed by his minions in their handling of the biggest AIM fraud of the year, so far, Telit (TCM). Lowly gofers such as the head of AIM Regulation, the fake Sheriff Mr Marcus Stuttad,  have allowed Telit to avoid any independent scrutiny of its accounts & business practices despite clear evidence of fraud. That has to change and maybe Brydon will push for that. I have sent him a letter.

18 August 2017, 09:24 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Does Neil Woodford really deserve a halo - is Circassia the biggest dog in his funds?

If you read the bent, freebie is our middle name, personal financie columnists in the deadwood press, fund manager Neil Woodford walks on water. I disagree and have noted before, that, maybe, after three dismal years, others are starting to see the light.  But, with assistance from a leading broker, how about we have a real look at the Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) but also at the sort of dogs Neil ifalls in love with.

17 August 2017, 14:59 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Obtala - shares to more than double: broker VSA: we publish the note

VSA is house broker to Obtala (OBT) so is not impartial. Neither am I as we own a small number of shares following a Dragon's Den pitch as the 2017 UK Investor Show. But the price target suggests real upside and VSA's research team is well regarded and since we happily published an uber-negative piece from Evil Banksta the other day, this offers some balance. VSA has tweaked its forecasts

18 August 2017, 14:46 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Reader Comment of the day - Drunken Sailor unearths local issues for Bushveld

You may remember that ShareProphets poster Drunken Sailor and I were co-defendants in a libel case a couple of years ago ( which we won). Mr sailor is not a drunk and he is a great sleuth when he wants to be. My pressing concerns about uber ramped Bushveld Minerals (BMN) are its balance sheet, but DS has unearthed another major issue which, for some reason, Bushveld has not covered in an RNS. Perhaps it might do so now? Drunken's post merits a wider audience:

18 August 2017, 11:24 | By Cynical Bear |

PCG Entertainment – Lots to like about this funding deal other than…….WHY??

Like Richard Poulden, CEO of PCG Entertainment (PCGE), I have a bit of time for Brian Kinane at Riverfort. As someone who believes in transparency and clear communication, my view is that Brian is trying to bring some of that to the world of small cap funding, particularly where the dreaded phrase “ death spiral” is concerned and there’s a few points here to be applauded. It still doesn’t prevent the obvious question being aimed at Mr Poulden though – WHY RAISE MORE FUNDS NOW?

18 August 2017, 09:14 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Kennedy Ventures - Giving 3.98% of the company to the CEO does have a cost

Some folks think that handing out share options to senior staff is a cost free exercise and b) benefits all shareholders as it incentivizes the board and also aligns their interests with those of stockholders. Bollocks on all counts.

18 August 2017, 14:05 | By Steve Moore |

SRT Marine Systems – order “for the world's biggest single deployment of AIS AtoN”. Wow… Or not…

Following the postponement of a significant contract announced at the end of last month, SRT Marine Systems (SRT) has now announced an “AIS Aids to Navigation Contract”, including that “the order is for the world's biggest single deployment of AIS AtoN”. The world's biggest hey, sounds impressive!…

17 August 2017, 14:03 | By Steve Moore |

Idox – acquisition aids a rating which is “highly attractive”… Or is it?

Having reached more than 75p in May, shares in information management technology and services company Idox (IDOX) declined below 60p early last month before recovering above 65p - then declining towards 60p again. The company is now “pleased to announce that it has acquired… Halarose, a supplier of electoral back office software and services to UK local authorities, for £5.0 million, comprising £3.5 million in cash and £1.5 million in shares” (at 61.5p)…

18 August 2017, 08:08 | By Malcolm Stacey |

Looking for a Possibly Safer Airline Venture? - Well, this Fleet's In

Hello Share Grafters. The congestion in most of our airports will give you the heads-up that air travel is booming. It will continue to do so, especially as more people from developing countries become middle class. But you may still be wary of big airlines.

18 August 2017, 14:59 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Advanced Oncotherapy – how’s the cash position? Still a stonking SELL.

After a stack of RNSs earlier this year, it has all gone quiet at AIM-listed Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) since the announcement of the termination of the Bracknor death-spiral. How’s the cash position?

17 August 2017, 16:05 | By Steve Moore |

Capital Drilling – half-year results include “broadened” uplift in activity, so why are the shares lower still?

Drilling services company Capital Drilling (CAPD) has announced results for the first half of 2017, including that an initial uplift in activity has broadened with an improving outlook in industrial metals and capital markets activities support. Why then are the shares further lower, below 40p, having been above 60p earlier this year?...

19 August 2017, 07:56 | By Steve Moore |

Table of shorted AIM shares - week to 18/08/2017

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following shows the shorted AIM shares with positions from 2016 and thus far in 2017 (by net short position %) - and if this position has increased (red), reduced (green) or remained unchanged (black) since last week...

19 August 2017, 07:32 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Telit Communications – how much of a cash guzzler is GainSpan?

In the piss poor results for the six months to 30 June 2017, Telit (TCM) highlighted that it had purchased GainSpan and provided the following rather limited commentary on its contribution to the interim results: