ShareProphets

Saturday 19 August 2017 The one stop source for free breaking news, expert analysis, and videos on AIM and LSE listed shares


26 July 2017, 08:45 | By Cynical Bear |

Totally: Mea culpa, I apologise - there’s nothing to see here

I must apologise. Yesterday I wrote an article stating that Totally was in breach of AIM regulations in not making an announcement about its CFO getting another job. I was wrong; I have given myself a good and proper birching this morning and am here to beg forgiveness.

26 July 2017, 08:13 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Lucian Miers continues his world war two theme as UK Oil & Gas shares surge again

Lucian Miers' 3.1p short call on UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) seems to be, at present, right up there with most of the share tips of the market abuser Chris Oil in the pantheons of duff calls. The shares surged yesterday to 7.25p-7.3p. Ouch.

26 July 2017, 08:09 | By Gary Newman |

Is Nu-Oil being desperately pumped by the latest placees?

Nu-Oil and Gas (NUOG) is a company that I covered a couple of weeks back as being totally over-valued, and although it has pulled back a bit I think it potentially has further to go.

26 July 2017, 08:07 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Watchstone shares plunge to just 97p (bad news for Evil) - but should you bottom fish? No!

Oh dear. Poor old Evil Knievil who has been a perma bull of Watchstone (WTG), the former Quenron (QPP), loftily dismissing claims by Slater & Gordon for £637 million and my analysis as not worth the paper they were writen on. Oh how bullish was the great man, at 141p, just a few weeks ago as he posted his bon mots on a Bulletin Board. The shares have duly plunged to just 97.5p so costing EK and his fellow BB Morons a good packet. Poor Evil. Poor BB Morons.

26 July 2017, 08:05 | By Steve Moore |

Time Out Group – argues “well positioned”, so why are the shares muted?

Time Out (TMO) has updated on the first half of 2017, arguing “we are well positioned to drive further growth, transactional traffic and monetisation of our unique content”. The shares though, at 138p, remain below the 150p June of last year AIM listing price…

26 July 2017, 08:03 | By Malcolm Stacey |

You Might Not Want This Share Suggestion Returned to Sender

Hello Share Shedders. When I invested in Royal Mail (RMG) on the golden day it went public, I made an instant paper profit. I sold the shares soon afterwards at an even bigger gain. However, others in my family, hung onto their shares. And since July 2016 there has been a slough of despond.

25 July 2017, 15:40 | By Steve Moore |

Augean – the time for a routine half-year trading update? Er…

With a calendar financial year and no updates on trading since 21st March-announced results for 2016, a “Trading Update” announcement from waste management company Augean (AUG) seems routine. However, the shares are currently circa 14% lower, at below 55p…

25 July 2017, 15:06 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Glenwick - the whole farce unravels so let the recriminations begin....

Oh dear, this really is a clusterfuck even by the lowly standards of the AIM Casino. You will remember that AIM listed Glenwick (GWIK), linked via Peterhouse Corporate Finance and Amanda Van Dyke to fellow AIM dog Paternoster Resources (PRS) in a related party snakefest, has had its shares suspended an RTO but there have been a few problemos. Oh dear. Oh dear.

25 July 2017, 14:20 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

F40 Origo – disposals: how’s the NAV doing?

ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty play Origo (OPP) has announced a couple of disposals. With the share price still languishing on a 2-2.25p spread, compared to the last quoted NAV in the FY16 accounts of 13c (US) – call that 10p per share. After a series of scandals over massive payments to the fund manager what now for the company with scheduled redeemable/convertible prefs after the dispute with Brooks MacDonald was finally resolved?

25 July 2017, 13:33 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

i3 Energy - a $50m fund raise becomes zero fund raise and £14m market cap (oops make that £11m) - disastrous IPO

It was only a couple of months ago, on May 10 - 6 months behind schedule - when wannabee North Sea oil developer i3 Energy (I3E) announced it was to raise up to $50 million as it joined AIM. Since then, as we have noted before, there have been numerous false starts and it was obvious to all concerned - bar Amanda Van Dyke's related party snakefest Glenwick (GWIK) - that the fundraise was in deep merde. Oh yes. Party on bear dudes. This IPO has bombed and the business model is mega-fucked.

25 July 2017, 12:33 | By Steve Moore |

Goals Soccer Centres – trading update warns, but a joint venture “transformational”?

“Trading Update” announcement from Goals Soccer Centres (GOAL) includes a “full year outturn being around £0.8m less than expected”, but the shares are currently slightly higher above 100p with there also a “Joint Venture” announcement…

25 July 2017, 11:37 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Take that you bastards No 1 - Disgraced Roger "Ramper" Lawson of ShareSoc - see you in Court bitchez!

Disgraced share ramper Roger Lawson of Globo, blinkx, Monitise and ShareSoc (until he "was resigned") infamy, threatened me, Tom Winnifrith, two weeks ago with a libel action and also a claim for harassment demanding damages, an apology dictated by the ramper, the withdrawal of ALL articles about his nefarious deeds and an agreement never to expose him again. You can see his attempt to gag a free press covering matters of public interest HERE. I am responding in two parts. First up is the harassment claim...

25 July 2017, 09:50 | By Steve Moore |

Earthport – “not cash flow breakeven in FY 2017”, so it's next year then? Er…

Having declined from more than 45p in September 2015 to sub 13p less than a year ago, shares in Earthport (EPO) approached 30p earlier this year – before declining again in recent months. We now have a “Full Year Trading Statement”

25 July 2017, 08:56 | By Cynical Bear |

Totally: Um, anything you want to tell us about your CFO?

It must be exciting times at NHS supplier Totally (TLY) at the moment with the buy-and-build strategy taking shape and an RTO in progress and a busy time, particularly for the CFO, Don Baladasan, who also has the interims to prepare but, er, has he just left to join CentralNic (CNIC)?

25 July 2017, 08:17 | By Malcolm Stacey |

Why I Disregarded Tom's and Steve's Advice On Zytronic

Hello, Share Mashers. It is not often that my good self and my more intelligent colleagues Uncle Tom and Steve Moore commend the same share. There are, after all, zillions of choices to be made in the markets. But we did agree on Zytronic (ZYT), the successful niche company that specialises in the very fashionable area of touch sensors.

24 July 2017, 14:17 | By Steve Moore |

Proxama – claims now “well positioned”… but has to scramble around to reach even minimum requirement of fundraising

Last writing on Proxama (PROX) I noted new agreement announcements now being seen through – and the shares are currently lower today on the back of “Result of Open Offer” and General Meeting updates…

24 July 2017, 13:12 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Is the City of London Corporation bent and why won't the press investigate?

The City of London Corporation is unlike any other local authority. It is democratic in the loosest sense of the word. It is hugely rich and very powerful and, as such,  it is rare that anyone in the Square Mile is stupid enough to stick his or her head above the parapet and ask what is going on. But today Andrew Monk of VSA Resources aks for trouble and writes...

24 July 2017, 11:50 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Sefton Resources - shares in issue balloon but what is the cash position?

On 23rd October 2015 as the old board of Sefton Resources (SER) handed over power to Clem Chambers, Mike Hodges as directors and Daniel Levi as a consultant it stated that the cash position was $504,300. The new board claimed that it was in fact materially lower. What is it now? That is unclear but what we do know is that the number of shares in issue has rocketed from 4,796,618,397 to 8,949,299,416 as that was announced at the weekend.

24 July 2017, 11:45 | By David Scott |

Buckle up for the turbulence ahead. My most important note ever

The reset is now seven days closer than it was last week. There are times when normality moves out of reach and I believe we are rapidly approaching such a time. I have lived through a number of recessions and bear markets and they don’t come out of nowhere; there are always warning signs. Many investors may choose to ignore those signs; I choose not to. I hope you make the same choice.

24 July 2017, 11:20 | By Lucian Miers |

Sell the Carillion HS2 rally at 63p

The accepted market wisdom that one should never be a bear in company throws up a lot of exceptions. Carillion (CLLN), for some time now top of the leaderboard of the most shorted shares on the LSE, is a good example.

19 minutes ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith: Sign up now for new free share tip service FiveFreeShareTips.com

Following complaints from shamed share ramper Roger Lawson, ADVFN has insisted on a raft of new editorial controls on OneFreeShareTip.com. I did not re-start my life five years ago to be told what I could or could not write. I said no and ADVFN boss Clem Chambers has just said that the website will be shut down. So...our hand is forced ... Welcome to fivefreesharetips.com - we hope you join NOW HERE.

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

New Bulletin Board Moron of the Week contest - sponsored by the fund managers who knew so much better than the dirty plebs on Telit

Just three months ago some of Britain's top fund managers ploughed more than 50 million dollars into a placing organised by AIM dog Telit Communications despite numerous warnings from ourselves and others. But they knew better and anyhow it was other people's money. The shares have collapsed today to less than half the placing price after the most awful set of interims. But the fund managers will still earn Inter City salaries + ( more than 125) and fat bonuses so who cares? Are there any folks in the share world dumber than those fund managers? Er.... 

6 days ago | By Gary Newman |

Kaz Minerals offers a buying opportunity on this dip

Kaz Minerals (KAZ) is a great example of the extent that commodity prices can effect larger miners, and the recovery in copper prices has seen the share price trading at multiples of where it was just 18 months ago.

7 days ago | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Tern announces two fundraisings – how do they compare?

After-hours yesterday AIM-listed Tern plc (TERN) announced two fundraisings – one via Primary Bid for its own coffers and the other a proposed offering via US broker US Capital Partners for its investee company Device Authority. Let’s compare the two.

7 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Telit Communications: what the bears saw, it's about the balance sheet stupid

After my earlier story about the covenant breach which is, I am increasingly sure, a smoking gun, I explore some trends shown by the financial statements of Telit Communications (TCM) that may have been some the red flags that resulted in hedge funds making Telit the most heavily shorted AIM company - this is all about the balance sheet. It also highlights why some type of fund raise, equity or debt, was almost inevitable in May - without it the lights would have been switched off by now.

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

KERBOOM - THE FULL SHOCKING DOSSIER, New fraud revealed - This is why Telit is Globo Mk2 and why it is going to 0p

Over the past week I have shown that Telit Communications (TCM) is run by a man who fled fraud charges in the US but changed his name to avoid investors knowing, I have flagged up banking covenant breaches, red flag strewn interims and an Italian criminal investigation. But that was just an appetizer. Today I give you a full dossier with shocking NEW material, which shows this is Globo Mark 2. it is a fraud and its shares are going to zero.

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Jubilee Platinum deal with Riverfort - death spirals so bad right? NO!

Jubilee Platinum (JLP) last week announced a $50 million funding package to grow its metals recovery business. Oh no Riverfort! Said the snipers. Death spirals, yak, yak, yak. They have it wrong. This deal is, if you read the detail, good news.

6 days ago | By Pizza HardMan Darren Atwater |

Notes from Underground: Here's a buy recommendation: invest in moped shares

London has a real table problem. At least the outdoor ones, and I don't see Mayor Sadiq Khan putting any effort into it.

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Emails sent to AIM Regulation & Nomad Finncap after today's Telit bombshell - this must be suspended 7 AM Monday

This is becoming Globo v2 at a an alarming rate. Today's bombshell dossier on Telit Communications (TCM) nails it as a slam dunk ZERO beyond all doubt. The only way that the shares do not completely crater in the morning is if they are suspended first. And that is exactly what should happen. As such I sent a couple of emails last night. One to tthe head of the Oxymorons Marcus Stuttard and his clueless colleagues, the Keystone Cops at AIM Regulation and the other to the folks at Nomad FinnCap from CEO Sam Smith via head of Corporate Finance Stuart Andrews down to analyst Lorne Daniel with a minor jackal in Corporate Finaance also included in case Andrews is too busy with his polo ponies to read emails on a Sunday. Enjoy!

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Want to Get your cash back on the Paragon Diamonds AIM Casino fraud & bust - legal case now imminent

Investors who have lost £900,000 on the Paragon Diamonds (PRG) fraud and bust are now lined up to sue the hapless Nomad ( Northland with QEs Gerry Beaney and David Hignell overseeing the shambles) as an update from class action litigation arranger Peter Petyt sent this morning, makes clear. However we need more folks who were conned to join the party URGENTLY and for two reasons:

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Telit Communications – Mr Fat Katz unusual remuneration arrangements

After today's complete bombshell which shows that Telit (TCM) is a Globo style fraud and thus utterly worthless what follows may be a tad academic. But, none the less, it is yet another Red Flag which we all should have noticed earlier. Reading through the 2016 annual report of Telit it is apparent that Mr Fat Katz, sorry Mr Oozi Cats, had two unusual remuneration arrangements. 

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast Special - the culture of corporate lying as I say GOTCHA to Telit

Following today's bombshell there can be no doubt that Telit Communications (TCM) is toast. Companies that lie and deceive so industrially in the way I demonstrated earlier HERE will always end in tears.  In this podcast I look at the culture of corporate lying and wrongdoing and what it means for you as an investor. I look at rent boys at BP then at Quindell (QPP), Globo (GBO) and of course, in the main, at Telit

6 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Telit bombshell Part 2 - its Distributors are oft on a par with those of Globo

Earlier today I published a bombshell that demonstrated that Telit (TCM) was Globo v2 - that is to say a FRAUD heading for zero in short order.. One of the points that caused Globo to unravel within days were its bogus distributors. I covered that in some detail in Part 1 of this series but here in  part 2 I offer up some graphics to make my point. Distributors account for only 30% of claimed sales but if they are bogus then is anything genuine? It is game over for Telit, the Fat Lady is getting ready... Enjoy what follows...

5 days ago | By Malcolm Stacey |

Congratulations! - You're a Share Winner In the 68,000 Club

Hello, Share Jigglers. The stats show that more than 68,000 different people logged onto this magnificent website last week. Darren Atwater, who recorded this amazing count is too modest to comment. So allow me to note that 68,000 is the equivalent of the entire population of a very big town.

6 days ago | By Nigel Somerville |

Ariana – gold price, production news and share price

After my mea culpa of June 20th we have had further news. It has taken a bit of time to digest, but overall it looks positive to me, if rather laced with jam-tomorrow. With the share price finally off its low point of just 1.25p, let’s look through the detail.

6 days ago | By Evil Banksta |

Obtala: When is an equity Issue not an equity issue?

When the cash still hasn’t arrived! Tom Winnifrith gets upset (see) when I write negative comments about Obtala (OBT) and so I’ve kept quiet for a while, but there comes a point when you just have to ask the question: WTF is going on? Since Tom believes in free speech (as well as Obtala) he - as ever - allows me to write here.

5 days ago | By David Scott |

Because it is easy - Kennedy on Space, the World today on debt-binging

In a world in which "we do these things because they're easy", the outcome will eventually be very difficult and painful. On September 12, 1962, President John F. Kennedy gave a famous speech announcing the national goal of going to the moon by the end of the decade.  In a memorable line, Kennedy said we would pursue the many elements of the space program "not because they are easy, but because they are hard.Both nationally and internationally the overriding economic philosophy is currently "we do these things because they're easy" and relying on debt to pay today's expenses is at the top of the list. What's easier than using a line of credit to buy whatever you want or need? Nothing's easier than borrowing money, especially at super-low rates of interest.

19 August 2017, 11:11 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith: Sign up now for new free share tip service FiveFreeShareTips.com

Following complaints from shamed share ramper Roger Lawson, ADVFN has insisted on a raft of new editorial controls on OneFreeShareTip.com. I did not re-start my life five years ago to be told what I could or could not write. I said no and ADVFN boss Clem Chambers has just said that the website will be shut down. So...our hand is forced ... Welcome to fivefreesharetips.com - we hope you join NOW HERE.

19 August 2017, 11:11 | By Pizza Hardman & Hackney Marxist Darren Atwater |

New Bulletin Board Moron of the Week contest - sponsored by some scooter courier shop in Vietnam, #1 distributer for Telit

As seen here, Telit's (TCM) distributers are a, um, diverse lot, including a distributer in Vietnam that appears to be a scooter courier firm. Which is nice, and thank you for sponsoring this week's Bulletin Board Moron search.

18 August 2017, 14:35 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Oozi Cats and the FBI & why Telit could well be tits up within weeks

The failure of the LSE to insist that hapless Nomad FinnCap forces Telit (TCM) to bring in a firm like KPMG to conduct a full forensic review will hurt it even more when this company goes tits up as I noted in a letter to Stock Exchange boss Donald Brydon earlier today HERE.  Two sources tell me that the FBI may have bad news for the Boston fraudster Oozi Cats and his Mrs as I explain in this podcast. But the meat of the podcast is explaining why Telit will go tits up and why that could be within six weeks. Enjoy.

18 August 2017, 08:11 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

A letter to the chairman of the London Stock Exchange - why no independent review of the Telit fraud?

You may remember that at the last AGM of the London Stock Exchange (LSE) its chairman,, Donald Brydon CBE, 'fessed up to being a ShareProphets reader and as we chatted afterwards he came over as a thoroughly decent man. But he has, yet again, been failed by his minions in their handling of the biggest AIM fraud of the year, so far, Telit (TCM). Lowly gofers such as the head of AIM Regulation, the fake Sheriff Mr Marcus Stuttad,  have allowed Telit to avoid any independent scrutiny of its accounts & business practices despite clear evidence of fraud. That has to change and maybe Brydon will push for that. I have sent him a letter.

18 August 2017, 09:24 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Does Neil Woodford really deserve a halo - is Circassia the biggest dog in his funds?

If you read the bent, freebie is our middle name, personal financie columnists in the deadwood press, fund manager Neil Woodford walks on water. I disagree and have noted before, that, maybe, after three dismal years, others are starting to see the light.  But, with assistance from a leading broker, how about we have a real look at the Woodford Patient Capital Trust (WPCT) but also at the sort of dogs Neil ifalls in love with.

17 August 2017, 14:59 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Obtala - shares to more than double: broker VSA: we publish the note

VSA is house broker to Obtala (OBT) so is not impartial. Neither am I as we own a small number of shares following a Dragon's Den pitch as the 2017 UK Investor Show. But the price target suggests real upside and VSA's research team is well regarded and since we happily published an uber-negative piece from Evil Banksta the other day, this offers some balance. VSA has tweaked its forecasts

18 August 2017, 14:46 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Reader Comment of the day - Drunken Sailor unearths local issues for Bushveld

You may remember that ShareProphets poster Drunken Sailor and I were co-defendants in a libel case a couple of years ago ( which we won). Mr sailor is not a drunk and he is a great sleuth when he wants to be. My pressing concerns about uber ramped Bushveld Minerals (BMN) are its balance sheet, but DS has unearthed another major issue which, for some reason, Bushveld has not covered in an RNS. Perhaps it might do so now? Drunken's post merits a wider audience:

18 August 2017, 11:24 | By Cynical Bear |

PCG Entertainment – Lots to like about this funding deal other than…….WHY??

Like Richard Poulden, CEO of PCG Entertainment (PCGE), I have a bit of time for Brian Kinane at Riverfort. As someone who believes in transparency and clear communication, my view is that Brian is trying to bring some of that to the world of small cap funding, particularly where the dreaded phrase “ death spiral” is concerned and there’s a few points here to be applauded. It still doesn’t prevent the obvious question being aimed at Mr Poulden though – WHY RAISE MORE FUNDS NOW?

18 August 2017, 09:14 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Kennedy Ventures - Giving 3.98% of the company to the CEO does have a cost

Some folks think that handing out share options to senior staff is a cost free exercise and b) benefits all shareholders as it incentivizes the board and also aligns their interests with those of stockholders. Bollocks on all counts.

18 August 2017, 14:05 | By Steve Moore |

SRT Marine Systems – order “for the world's biggest single deployment of AIS AtoN”. Wow… Or not…

Following the postponement of a significant contract announced at the end of last month, SRT Marine Systems (SRT) has now announced an “AIS Aids to Navigation Contract”, including that “the order is for the world's biggest single deployment of AIS AtoN”. The world's biggest hey, sounds impressive!…

17 August 2017, 14:03 | By Steve Moore |

Idox – acquisition aids a rating which is “highly attractive”… Or is it?

Having reached more than 75p in May, shares in information management technology and services company Idox (IDOX) declined below 60p early last month before recovering above 65p - then declining towards 60p again. The company is now “pleased to announce that it has acquired… Halarose, a supplier of electoral back office software and services to UK local authorities, for £5.0 million, comprising £3.5 million in cash and £1.5 million in shares” (at 61.5p)…

18 August 2017, 08:08 | By Malcolm Stacey |

Looking for a Possibly Safer Airline Venture? - Well, this Fleet's In

Hello Share Grafters. The congestion in most of our airports will give you the heads-up that air travel is booming. It will continue to do so, especially as more people from developing countries become middle class. But you may still be wary of big airlines.

18 August 2017, 14:59 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Advanced Oncotherapy – how’s the cash position? Still a stonking SELL.

After a stack of RNSs earlier this year, it has all gone quiet at AIM-listed Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) since the announcement of the termination of the Bracknor death-spiral. How’s the cash position?

17 August 2017, 16:05 | By Steve Moore |

Capital Drilling – half-year results include “broadened” uplift in activity, so why are the shares lower still?

Drilling services company Capital Drilling (CAPD) has announced results for the first half of 2017, including that an initial uplift in activity has broadened with an improving outlook in industrial metals and capital markets activities support. Why then are the shares further lower, below 40p, having been above 60p earlier this year?...

19 August 2017, 07:56 | By Steve Moore |

Table of shorted AIM shares - week to 18/08/2017

From the FCA's spreadsheet of short positions required to be disclosed to it, the following shows the shorted AIM shares with positions from 2016 and thus far in 2017 (by net short position %) - and if this position has increased (red), reduced (green) or remained unchanged (black) since last week...

19 August 2017, 07:32 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Telit Communications – how much of a cash guzzler is GainSpan?

In the piss poor results for the six months to 30 June 2017, Telit (TCM) highlighted that it had purchased GainSpan and provided the following rather limited commentary on its contribution to the interim results: