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On the agenda today as I prepare for my weekly coffee morning with my baby son Joshua and the fit young mums is: Andalas (ADL) a joke broker note, MySquar (MYSQ) another RNS which is all smoke and mirrors and a desperate attempt to prop up the shares but SP Angel refuses to force the company to come clean on the lies in the last RNS and the fraud. Pathetic. I look at Interserve (IRV) and its latest dire news. We did warn you. I "out" the company that was truing to raise $15 million via Cornhill yesterday. I look at former ZAI clients whose days on AIM are numbered and finally I read across from yesterday's Horse Hill trade involving Regency (RGM) and Alba (ALBA) to show just how monstrously overvalued is, out of cash and desperate to place, UK Oil & Gas (UKOG)
Hello, Share Hearties. No mistake about it, Centrica (CNA) is a well-run company and a huge entity. Its market cap is £9.6 billion. But as we know, the expression ‘Too big to fail’ does not always work. Many of us will have lost money on British giants that went pear-shaped, like BT, British Energy, Northern Rock, RBS etc. And Centrica does not seem to me a rosy share to hold or buy at the moment.
Heck it is on twitter so it must be true as you can see below
Specialist recruitment group Prime People (PRP) was a former recommendation on the Nifty Fifty website, though we opted to play it safe and sell towards the end of last year – with macroeconomic and some trading concerns. I today note a (rarely good sign) intra-day “Trading Update” announcement from the company…
Arguing it is positioning “to capitalize on significant projected increases in spending” as suggested by it having “reported a strong set of financial results for the six months ended 30 June 2017”, Ubisense (UBI) “is pleased to announce it has raised £5.5 million (before expenses) from a placing in order to support growth plans and strengthen its balance sheet”. Hmmm, let’s review…
Oh dear, oh dear. This is pretty simple maths although clearly beyond the wit of clueless Nomad SP Angel but in this podcast I demonstrate clearly another slam dunk lie in the MySquar (MYSQ) trading statement of last week and corrected version of this week. Time for another correction? But it gets worse. I remind you of what SP Angel needs to establish to show that MySquar only breached AIM Rules rather than committing wholesale fraud (ref July sales) but now suggest that its claims re September comparatives might bear scrutiny as well. And there are some very fishy rumours coming out of Singapore that SP Angel might consider as it decides whether to quit or not. I move on to cover Paternoster Resources (PRS) after its latest bad news and explain why its NAV is illusory and then ask readers for help in outing which oil & gas stock Cornhill is raising $15 million for today at a discount of 12% to some share price or another.
Natch the AIM listed uber dog Sabien (SNT) never got around to mentioning it but, like Purplebricks (PURP) today, it was censured by the Advertising Standards Agency, ASA, back in January 2013. Good companies just do not need to mislead clients.
Yesterday I flagged up the crazy valuation of Doorsteps.co.uk and how, egged on by some misleading marketing, it had managed to raise large sums on crowd funding website Crowdcube. Thus it now has cash - which it will burn fast on its flawed business model - but which will put even more pressure on prices and volumes at Purplebricks (PURP). Sadly it is not an isolated case. Meet I Am The Agent Limited.
A March AGM update saw Premier Veterinary Group (PVG) “confident in the prospects for the US business and has agreed to significantly increase PVG's investment commitment in the current financial year in the US”. An update today includes a narrower focus of resources in the US “until such time that the changes the group is implementing to improve sign up rates take effect and are sustained”. And there’s worse…
I apologise to another Anglo-Irishman for the misquote. The advertising watchdog the ASA has for the fourth time in 18 months slammed Purplebricks (PURP) for lying to potential customers. Let's bve clear: companies with a good product can afford to tell the truth. Natch Purplebricks says it has changed its adverts and there is nothing to worry about. But that is on just two days data....
At last we have the details of the RTO of an e-commerce womenswear operation into cash shell Orogen (ORE). It is game on - this one will soar.
Hello, Share Monkeys. I’ve not covered ASOS (ASC) before, as I know it causes a lot of us some pain. I hardly know one investor, among my city gang, who has not sold the damn shares too early. Everybody knows the legend. ASOS is the share which is probably the most quoted when we lament to friends how much we could have made.
Last year I noted Cloudcall (CALL) going from ‘clearly enough cash to reach break-even’ to £3.77 million placing in less than 5 months. It stated on that placing that it would see it able to capitalise on “near term growth opportunities, without the working capital constraints which have hitherto restricted our rate of growth”. Just over a year later though there’s now a “proposed placing to raise £5.7million… to capitalise on near term growth opportunities”. Hmmm…
With ZAI Corporate Finance losing its Nomad status on Thursday, its client companies are running out of time to book in a replacement to avoid suspension. And that brings us to ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty play Northwest Investment Group (NWIG) – the investment company which, after seven years, has invested not a cent.
Yesterday I discussed Doorsteps.co.uk which claims that it will flog your house for £99. I now look more closely at its history and the utterly shameless way that Crowdcube raised £400,000 for it; at the fact free and unquestioning BJ's its 19 year old founder has received from Fleet Street and speculate about how bad its metrics really are. That it has raised cash so easily is bad news for Purplebricks as it is now funded to nibble at its market share and so will be others until they all go bust. But it will be too late for Purplebricks by then. I then have hot gossip on Telit (TCM) which shows up the FT's dictation from PR men taking hacks for the fools they are and reinforces the shorting case big time. I cover UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) and Conroy Gold & Natural Resources (CGNR), both need to place ASAP and in both cases it will be ugly. I also remind you again what UKOG is NOT saying.
Yesterday revelations on Sky and a company statement made clear that all is not well at Interserve (IRV), for all the positive noises about constructive discussions with its lenders, Sky revealed that a syndicate of lenders including Royal Bank of Scotland and HSBC had called in Ernst and Young amid fears about the balance sheet. Noting also that the balance sheet is painfully thin, as per its recent interims statement, and the calamitous profit warning last month suggesting that the company had no idea of the eventual magnitude of the provision needed associated with its exit from its energy-from-waste business, as well as questions over current trading and you already have pretty good reasons to get out.
In my opus magnus on BCA Marketplace (BCA), the Big Short, I highlighted in Red Flag 4 point 1 the operating leases with no break clause until 2031 and noted that adding these to the balance sheet would double the apparent debt burden.
On a 3rd October announcement that Lyndon Davies had agreed to join as CEO, Hornby (HRN) non-executive director and Interim Chairman David Adams was “delighted to welcome Lyndon to the board”, adding “Hornby will continue with its turnaround plan”. There’s today a “Trading Statement and Directorate Change” announcement…
I have never written about Merlin Entertainment (MERL) before but i have certainly visited one of its leisure facilities religiously at least once a year for the last five years or so. Yes, I can attest that Legoland is actually damn good, clean family fun and due to the fifty minutes I spent in the queue for the new Ninjago ride the other month I have changed my specialist subject for any future Mastermind appearance.
What on earth is clueless Nomad SP Angel thinking? Its client MySquar (MYSQ) last week issued a (lack of) profits warning which means that it has either committed securities fraud or merely a massive breach of AIM Rule 11. Investors need to know what its sales were in July (as opposed to the July-September average given) in order to know how bad this will be. I have pressed SP Angel to force a statement and indeed the retained broker Beaufort has - to its enormous credit - also pressed but instead...
Another day, and another set of expenses claimed by Julie Meyer MBE as being "on company business" from Ariadne Capital Limited, now in administration. Staff who were paid late or not at all, investors who have lost everything and the HMRC who will surely see these as more benefits in kind on which Julie should have paid tax, will be horrified. Natch this document has gone to the HMRC. This is October 2014 and is a retail special. Although the Co-op entry, 11 October, is a total hoot.
Oh dear Julie Meyer. This document below which has dropped into the hands of the Winnileaks service is already with one of the FOUR investors in your companies who is suing you and he is adding it to his case. It will be with the FCA and MFSA later today for it indicates a wholesale fraud on your part. It is dated 13 November 2017.
I start with confirmation that Brokerman Dan and I really are doing a Horse Hill to Woodlarks charity walk on 28 July. Are you free and would you like to walk too? If not just give us your cash ( as Dan used to say in different circumstances in the old days). More details here I then comment on the latest year on year newspaper circulation stats (below) - what is happening, why and what it means.
When Sosandar (SOS) listed on AIM at 15p late last year, the forecast was that sales in the year to March 31 would be £1 million. Now we learn that they were £1.34 million. How many companies beat forecasts by that much in their IPO year? This is a special company as anyone who watched the two birds who run it HERE will know. This is not just about sales. It gets better for we loyal shareholders...
Oh dear. Two grovelling letters from tax evading Julie Meyer have come to me via Winnileaks. It seems that her US assets ( 2 flats) are now under lien to the taxamn (the IRS) as Julie forgot to pay any Capital Gains Tax on the sale of First Tuesday in 2000. She is now begging for a payment plan.
It is just over a month since I updated on my trawl to find big dividends which might be safe in a market environment where I don’t see much upside and plenty downside. Having originally settled on BT (BT.A) at about 225p on a yield of just shy of 7%, I added ITV (ITV) at the last count, paying 143.7p. That puts its dividend at 5.4%, although it went ex-dividend before I bought. Meanwhile I finally succumbed to the attractions (as I saw them) of Centrica (CNA), paying 142.95p ahead if its final dividend. How are things looking?
A “Business Outlook Update” from computer vision technologies company Seeing Machines (SEE) - following an announcement on Wednesday of “Australian Distributor Expands Guardian Commitment” and on Friday of “European Commission Agenda Affirms SEE Tech”, which together saw the shares up from 6.6p to 8.55p. Surely good news then…
As we saw earlier, Julie Meyer has told the US taxman, the IRS, to who she owes vast sums, that her only source of income is - illegal - director loans from Ariadne in Malta. Unfortunately that is a lie. Because, thanks to Winnileaks, you can see below a letter from a Swiss company Vestergaard where Julie is a director detailing her pay in 2017. Check its website and you'll see she is still a director. Ooops, I bet Julie hopes the IRS don't find out about that. Sadly for the devout Christian...
The People’s Operator (TPOP) is one of a number of AIM companies where you have to wonder whether there is really any point in it continuing to stay in business, other than generating fees for its brokers.
As we saw earlier Julie Meyer MBE appears to have forgotten to pay any tax on the Capital Gain she enjoyed when selling First Tuesday 18 years ago. Sadly for her the US tax authorities at the IRS have caught up with the devoutly christian tax avoider but are not demanding all their cash at once because it appears that poor Julie really is flat broke. Thanks to Winnileaks I bring you a filing Julie made to the IRS.
If Italy’s neo-anarchist "Grillini" had combined with anti-euro Lega nationalists two or three years ago to form an insurgent government, it would have set off panic in the bond markets. Yet now that this is upon investors, risk spreads have barely moved as Bond purchases by the European Central Bank and negative rates have enveloped Italy with an enormous comfort blanket as most investors think there is no chance that the ECB will let Italy go down, because it is the end of the European project if that happens.
As I head off to Greece later this week it will be to start training at altitude in the Taygetos Mountains. Only kidding. But i have been taking to the gym and starting some modest walks. I really do not want to be shown up too badly on 28 July when Brokerman Dan Levi and I walk from Horse Hill to Woodlarks.
Hello Share Strikers. In recent weeks, nay months, I’ve advocated buying shares in the big oilers, like Shell (RDSA) and BP (BP.). I was very lucky here. And I still think there’s some way to go, with the price of Brent Crude once again at the top of the tree.
Andalas Energy (ADL) is a company that even after its recent placing has NEGATIVE net current assets of $1-2 million and no assets of any value. I think it is worthless but its management wishes to meet me to explain why I am wrong. Hmmm. Well for starters I am a hermit who never goes to London other than for UK Investor and secondly I simply will not meet until the company answers four questions and it is still refusing.
As the winner of the 2017 Dragon's Den – grand prize, a free trip to anywhere the #73 bus goes, bus fare not included - I have a a reputation to protect. So there would be absolutely no reason to do a check in on how the 2018 leaderboard is doing.
AIM-listed, Houston headquartered, Cayman Islands registered oil/gas play Frontera (FRR), whose operations are in Georgia (and if that’s not a Red Flag….) has confirmed gas flow rates from its Dino-2 well in the Taribani complex. It flowed at 315 bbls per day – well, at least part of one day. Apparently that’s commercial, but I doubt shareholders can count their winnings just yet.
Amazingly, the cash shell that is Standard Listed AIQ (AIQ) – with somewhere around 8-10p per share of cash and nothing else – has again returned from suspension this morning. The shares, having peaked (ahead of the last suspension) at 150p to buy are now in free fall, sitting on a spread (last seen) of 80p (to sell) to 130p (to buy). I have no hesitation in recommending a sell – there is, after all, only 8-10p of value here. What does surprise me is that there has been no official comment whatsoever from the company – or, indeed, anyone else.
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