ShareProphets

Thursday 29 June 2017 The one stop source for free breaking news, expert analysis, and videos on AIM and LSE listed shares


17 January 2013, 13:36 | By Tom Winnifrith |

JD Wetherspoon Trading Statement – Not My Cup of Tea

UK pub owner and operator and FTSE-250 constituent JD Wetherspoon (JDW) has today provided an update on current trading ahead of its results for the six months ending 27th January 2013, which are expected to be announced on 15th March. The share price has risen from a little over 370p in May to 518.5p at the close today but I am struggling to see why anyone should get that excited about the state of play.

16 January 2013, 13:35 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Medusa Mining: Is it time to buy again?

London and Australia listed Philippines gold producer, Medusa Mining (MML) is a top recommendation from my past. I recommended the shares on t1ps.com, the site I founded in 2000 and left in September 2012 to establish the Nifty Fifty, at 49p in August 2008 and recommended selling at 426.5p in December 2010. 

15 January 2013, 21:26 | By Robert Sutherland Smith |

National Grid: Buy for Yield at 687p

The observation about things being in the price is usually a prelude to the conclusion that a share price is well up with events; more than discounting prospects and one where a profit should be taken. On this occasion, in respect to that dullest of shares, the National Grid, (NG.) it means the opposite.  Dull and boring, as my friend and former t1ps colleague Tom Winnifrith often says in relation to shares, is sexy. At my age I have long forgotten what he means by that but I think I get his general point and agree.

15 January 2013, 13:33 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Shanta Gold – Getting There: Buy at 23p

It was not a good Autumn for AIM listed Shanta Gold (SHG) but the last two RNS statements from the company demonstrate that it is both soundly financed and that, at last, it is delivering operationally. The shares have always had clear latent value it is just that investors have had a number of (utterly valid) reasons for not believing. But the times they are a changing.

15 January 2013, 13:32 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Mothercare: No Raison d’etre - sell

The Christmas trading reports from the retailers do not make for pretty reading. There are some who simply cite consumer confidence (or lack of it) in austerity Britain. But I would suggest that there are far wider structural changes afoot, ones that make me wonder if some companies really have a raison d’etre at all going forward. If it did not exist already would anyone bother to establish Mothercare (MTC)? Somehow I rather doubt it. Certainly when it publishes its Christmas trading statement on Thursday it will be grim.

11 January 2013, 21:28 | By Robert Sutherland Smith |

GlaxoSmithKline: 5.3% historic yield sufficient to merit a buy

Medical matters are on my mind as I have the Norovirus. But it takes more than that to stop me writing about companies but naturally my mind turns to drugs. Well I was a young man in the sixties – the 1960s not the 1860s before you ask. Talking of ancient history, the market long ago abandoned the assumption that GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) would automatically build a pathway for shareholders to a starlight future of endless profits and earnings growth, by simply spending 15% of its sales revenue on R&D, and turning that into an approved blockbuster therapy every few years. In truth, costs rose and progress became more difficult – the return on R&D capital was not acceptable.

11 January 2013, 13:30 | By Tom Winnifrith |

IQE: Placing, Trading Statement and Aquisition all look very good

On January 10th IQE (IQE), the Wales based supplier of advanced semiconductor wafer products and services IQE announced a $75 million ($60 million on completion and $15 million payable on the third anniversary of completion) acquisition, a £16.5 million placing of new shares with institutional investors at 29p each and a 2012 trading statement.  Having tipped the stock at a 28.75p on this very website on November 19th -I am feeling rather smug 

11 January 2013, 01:24 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Pace Micro: Upbeat Trading statement but shares still cheap

FTSE-250 constituent Pace plc (PIC), a developer of technologies and products for PayTV and broadband, has today announced that, following a strong second half year performance, its “full year results are anticipated to be ahead of the board's previous guidance”. The shares have responded by trading approaching 5% higher at 202p, capitalising the company at £625 million. The following reviews the investment proposition here…

11 January 2013, 01:07 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Greggs: Poor Trading Update – Reiterate Sell at 444p

Yesterday Greggs (GRG), the leading bakery retailer in the UK with more than 1,670 retail outlets, released an update on trading for the Christmas and New Year period (5 weeks ended 5th January 2013) and for its 2012 financial year (52 weeks ended 29th December 2012). This included that the company anticipates that it “will report full year results broadly in line with expectations when we make our preliminary announcement on 13 March 2013”. However there were caveats and with concerns about the UK economy and consumer spending – particularly on the high street, the following is my take on the current outlook for this company…

10 January 2013, 01:21 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Centamin Publishes Record Q4 Results but that still leaves it as a sell

Centamin (CEY), the London and Canada listed gold miner operating in Egypt, has announced record quarterly gold production of 85,543 ounces for the period closing December 31st 2012 – taking full year production to 262,958 ounces, a 30% increase on 2011 and above guidance of 250,000 ounces. The shares have responded by currently trading just over 5.5p higher at 49.75p, capitalising the company at just under £550 million. The company emphasises the numbers as “particularly pleasing given the challenges faced during the year” but the announcement also makes clear that challenges remain. The following details my current view…

9 January 2013, 01:22 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Domino’s Pizza – Serving up a Tasty Trading Statement

Domino's Pizza (DOM), now a FTSE-250 constituent, has been a stellar recommendation from me historically during my 12 years at t1ps.com, but I am currently nervous about the UK economy and consumer spending outlook. Does that dim my faith?  

9 January 2013, 01:04 | By Steve Moore |

Blinx: KoldCast TV deal announced – Speculative Buy

AIM-listed blinkx plc (BLNX), which describes itself as “the world’s largest and most advanced video search engine” , has today announced a further partnership deal – this with KoldCast TV, an international television network of original entertainment programming.

9 January 2013, 01:02 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Dignity – Death is not a one way bet

AIM listed Funeral homes group Dignity (DTY) is one of those companies whose shares always look expensive, but then always seem to head higher. You always kick yourself for not buying the stock, after all we have an ageing population and so death ( like taxes) looks a sort of one way bet. As it happens, that is not the case. At a share price of £11.02 the company is now capitalised at £603 million. Is this justifiable?

7 January 2013, 01:00 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Wandisco – a 2014 PE of 103 but might still be cheap

Normally I would consider that a company that will be loss making unto, calendar 2014 but which at 493p trades on a 2014 PE of 103 would be a slam dunk sell. Wandisco (WAND) is just that company and it cannot be described as a tradition Benjamin Graham style value investment. But before Lucien Miers thinks about shorting the stock, I suggest that he reads on. This is not as simple as it sounds.

7 January 2013, 00:27 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Ruspetro: A shocking profits warning – what is fair value?

Ruspetro (RPO) has already served up a profits warning in 2013 and for its timing as much as its substance it is already in line to win an award for the biggest shock of the year.  The shares closed Friday at 83.5p, valuing the firm at £278.4 million but given that the release went live at 6.30 PM the stock will be hit hard on Monday. At what point should you buy if at all?

5 January 2013, 00:29 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Is Xcite Energy a speculative buy?

Shares in AIM and Canada-listed Xcite Energy (XEL) hit 395p in January 2011 as it reported on a successful “transformational well” drill on its flagship Bentley oil field in the UK Northern North Sea, 160 kilometres east of the Shetland Isles. However, market disappointment at a 10th May 2011 reserves report on Bentley saw the shares fall from 316.5p to close at 110p just seven weeks later. They hit a low of 67.5p in July 2012 and currently trade at 92.75p – capitalising the company at approaching £270 million. The stock is a darling of the Bulletin Boards. But is it good value?

4 January 2013, 22:16 | By Robert Sutherland Smith |

Barclays – Time to bank gains: The yield is too low

Because the yield is too low for a bank (in historic terms), Barclays Bank (BARC)shares are clearly viewed by the market as a ‘momentum’ stock; the elementary investment principle being, that because the shares are going up, buy some more? 

4 January 2013, 00:58 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Centamin: Is it exporting gold or not?

On 20th December fully listed gold miner Centamin (CEY) announced that “following the recently-announced export of gold and resumption of fuel supply, operations have now resumed at Sukari.” The market read this as meaning that output and cashflow generation was now back on track. The shares have thus rallied to 39.3p. But this morning, top broker Fox Davies has published a research report stating “We also understand that gold exports have again been suspended.” Well have they? A RNS statement from Centamin is called for pretty urgently. This is a critical matter but the answer does not matter but the episode reminds us of why the shares are a sell.

3 January 2013, 00:24 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Bellzone Mining: Good News & Hot sector but are the shares ahead of themselves?

Suddenly the price of Iron ore has picked up, spurred by a recovery in Chinese Demand. Iron ore stocks have responded with a number showing sharp gains in the past month. Among the winners is Anglesey Mining (AYM) but also Bellzone (BZM) which has assisted its cause with news on both of its projects in the West African country of Guinea. The Bellzone share price has pushed ahead by 3p to 16p over the past month valuing the company at £117 million but some brokers reckon that it could still double from mere. There is a bear case as well as a bull case.

2 January 2013, 00:22 | By Tom Winnifrith |

My 6th (of 7) tips of the year 2013: Buy Archipelago Resources at 60p

I promised you something for everyone in my 7 tips of the year 2013 and so I now bring you a profitable, cash generative gold producer with exploration upside. As a relatively low cost producer it will keep throwing off cash if the gold price does noting or even falls. At the current gold price it looks very cheap but if, as I expect, gold moves ahead sharply it is very cheap indeed.  My sixth tip of the year 2013 is Archipelago Resources (AR.) which, at 60p, is capitalised at £345 million. This is a stock where at $2000 gold you will double your money within a year.

10 hours ago | By ShareProphets |

The June edition of the UK Investor Magazine is live - 5 share Tips, voting guide, and where to emigrate if the wrong party wins

The June edition of the UK Investor Show Magazine is live featuring three resource shares to buy,  two more share tips, a voting guide for investors, and where to emigrate if the wrong party wins a special offer expiring on June 14 and much more.

 
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4 days ago | By Darren Atwater |

New Bulletin Board Moron of the Week contest - sponsored by David Lenigas on steroids

The prize is a cheap one way flight to Mars organised by Elon Musk a promoter who makes David Lenigas seem bashful and understated. The challenge: We're looking for exemplary examples of sheer stupidity from those founts of brilliance; LSE.co.uk, III.co.uk and ADVFN.co.uk. The deadline to post your entries in the comments section below is midnight, Sunday 25 June.

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7 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Little Steve Sanderson of UK Oil & Gas in action on the Weald Basin caption contest

It seems that little Steve Sanderson of UK Oil & Gas (UKOG) was hosting anyone who was interested at the company's site at Broadford Bridge on the Weald Basin. Just last week the Old Bill were arresting local protestors near the drill pad, so what is little Steve saying now? Suitable captions in the comments section below with a deadline of midnight tonight please.

7 days ago | By Malcolm Stacey |

Here's One For Plastic Palace Alice - A One Year Profit-Doubler

Hello Share Smudgers. Companies which manufacture plastic bits and pieces have done rather well in my bag in recent years. But one I have not so far touched, yet ought to do so soon, is Carclo (CAR).

7 days ago | By Steve Moore |

InterQuest – attempted robber barons respond to Defence Document, admit their offer “constrained”…

Lambasted for a “materially undervalues” 42p per share offer, the InterQuest (ITQ) attempted management buyout team at Chisbridge Ltd has made a “Response to Defence Document”

7 days ago | By Steve Moore |

Hornby – major holder’s purchase means a mandatory cash offer

Last month saw a regime change General Meeting requisition withdrawn at Hornby (HRN) and now the major shareholder, Phoenix, has unconditionally agreed to acquire the rebel’s (New Pistoia Income’s) shares – seeing it required to make a mandatory cash offer for the whole company...

7 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Why Paul Scott's fucktard follower will always lose & should you sell all your oil shares?

Okay this really is the last one until September. But I have packed and am ready to travel and am bored, so here goes one more time. First up I discuss those who always blame others for their lack of profits, citing some twitter chum of the great Paul Scott. Then as Brent plunges through $45 I discuss why it is falling, where it will go next and if you should sell all your shares. The answer is a very selective no.

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7 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Luke Johnson speaks up for we terrified entrepreneurs

Luke Johnson will be among the star speakers at UK Investor Show 2018. Those with a golden ticket will also get to hear him in conversation with Nigel Wray at the Saracens evening the Wednesday beforehand - that will be a battle of the pizza men, a real treat - more details HERE. In his Sunday Times column last weekend he echoed my post-election gloom about how we entrepreneurs should feel terrified - HERE. It is brilliant stuff. Frankly Luke is THE reason to buy the Sunday Times. Luke opines:

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7 days ago | By Cynical Bear |

Highlands Natural Resources: Results out - fun over - bubble bursting - get out

I’m no longer surprised how stocks that, in my view, are inherently worthless or at least worth a fraction of their current share price can stay at such a high price or so long but I think the bubble is bursting, and gravity is taking hold, at Highlands Natural Resources (HNR) with a shocking set of results released yesterday. Let’s have a look at the “highlights”!

7 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Lies, smears & blackmail: Loathsome Rita tries to cling on at Magnolia Petroleum

Less than lovely Rita Whittingham is doing her utmost to cling onto the gravy train for her and her relatives which is Magnolia Petroleum (MAGP). You will remember that there are moves to oust the proven failure and install one director from Nostra Terra (NTOG), Evan Ainsworth, and an independent director, Zac "The Knife" Phillips, the City's No 1 oil analyst. This would not be a change of control as Rita asserts since The Knife is independent, but a much needed boardroom clearout. Now to the defence document which is worthy of Jeffrey Archer. It is just low grade fiction.

7 days ago | By Andre Brand |

My advice to the next Chancellor

I have to confess to being very depressed over the course of the last few months. I think the depression has actually been increasing and I put it all down to media and politics.

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7 days ago | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Naibu – SHOCKER filthy forty update and litigation news. Who's in the frame?

Out of the blue this morning, we have had an update from ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty Naibu. This was an obvious fraud and delisted in 2015 when the money stopped flowing and Houyan Lin disappeared. But the board decided to stand up to be counted. They may have been taken in and signed off on all sorts of lies, but they have been pursuing the case and today have also announced that viable legal causes of action look to exist to go after certain of the various professional advisers who were involved at the time of the flotation.

6 days ago | By Steve Moore |

The People's Operator – “Make a call, make a change”… shareholders make a loss…

“The People's Operator (TPOP), the cause-based commercial mobile virtual network operator, is pleased to announce its full year results for the period ended 31 December 2016”. Hmmm, these being announced approaching six months after the year-end – rarely a good sign…

6 days ago | By Steve Moore |

Imagination Technologies – shares jump on commencement of formal sale process, though “remains in dispute with Apple”

Shares in Imagination Technologies (IMG) have currently recovered more than 17%, to 145p, on the back of a “Commencement of formal sale process” announcement…

6 days ago | By Malcolm Stacey |

Mitie Is No Mouse at Cost Cutting and Finding New Customers

Hello Share Seekers. Times have not been pucker for firms which claw a lot of business from local councils and other organisations. Government cuts have caused so many local authorities to cut back on their awards of business to outside contractors. Mitie (MTO) is one such firm.

6 days ago | By Steve Moore |

James Latham – “pleased” with full-year results, but a buy?

Having last year commented on slowing growth, I note results for its year ended 31st March 2017 from panel and timber distribution company James Latham (LTHM)…

6 days ago | By Darren Atwater |

Winner of the Little Steve Sanderson of UK Oil & Gas in action on the Weald Basin caption contest

There were some good entries for this edition of the caption contest, and it was a photo finish for the winner of captioning this photo of  little Steve Sanderson of UK Oil & Gas (UKOG), playing host to anyone who was interested at the company's site at Broadford Bridge on the Weald Basin. 

28 June 2017, 14:55 | By ShareProphets |

The June edition of the UK Investor Magazine is live - 5 share Tips, voting guide, and where to emigrate if the wrong party wins

The June edition of the UK Investor Show Magazine is live featuring three resource shares to buy,  two more share tips, a voting guide for investors, and where to emigrate if the wrong party wins a special offer expiring on June 14 and much more.

 
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28 June 2017, 14:55 | By Corbyn's pal Darren Atwater |

New Bulletin Board Moron of the Week contest - sponsored by Paul "Queenie" McManus PR to London's worst frauds & AIM trash

Queenie smears journalists and spins for all the worst companies on the casino from fraudsters Eden to Advanced Oncotherapy to Norfolk's finest Fusionex. He truly is a posterboy for AIM and thus a fitting sponsor for this week's contest.  The challenge: We're looking for exemplary examples of sheer stupidity from those founts of brilliance; the Bulletin Board Morons who dwell on the cesspits that are LSE.co.uk, III.co.uk and ADVFN.co.uk. The deadline to post your entries in the comments section below is midnight, Sunday 2 July.

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27 June 2017, 08:11 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Exclusive: The full Slater & Gordon High Court Claim against Watchstone for £537m - damning on Rob Fielding, David Curry & the lies Quindell told

Slater & Gordon (SGH) spunked £649 million on buying the worthless, fraudulent assets of Quindell (QPP) in 2015, a deal that has seen its shareholders suffer a 99% wipeout. It has now filed a UK High Court claim against Watchstone (WTG), Quenron as was for £637 million and we have obtained the papers and, in a major scoop, publish the Claim in full below.

27 June 2017, 10:02 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Saffron Energy - The City's No 1 oil analyst Zac Phillips sticks his knife in and he has a point

I tipped shares in Saffron Energy (SRON) but urged folks to take profits some months ago. The shares were then 8p+ having listed at 5p. In recent weeks the shares have slithered back towards that 5p and I have been urged by folks to re-tip. I resisted that urge. Something was wrong. Now we all know what some folks have clearly known for a while, what the problem is.

28 June 2017, 08:06 | By HotStockRockets |

Minoan - Yes it can now develop Cave Sidero - we are off to the races: Yamas!

It has taken more than two decades and exposed the Greek planning system for the total joke that it is but Minoan (MIN) now has the all clear to go ahead and develop the spectacular Cave Sidero site in North East Crete.

28 June 2017, 14:55 | By ShareProphets |

You may know Tom the fraudbuster but what about the man who makes you money from value investing shares tips - act TODAY!

You may know Tom Winnifrith as the man who exposes fraud on AIM and gets a stack of death threats and lawyers letters for his troubles. Just on Tuesday he has published a massive exclusive on Quindell, the biggest London stockmarket fraud for 30 years, and a con the regulators thanked him for exposing. That breaking news is HERE.

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27 June 2017, 08:14 | By HotStockRockets |

Concepta - CEO buys a not un-trivial amount of shares: Follow suit

It is good to see a CEO putting his money where his mouth is and the share purchase by Erik Henau should also scotch the silly rumours that a placing is imminent. The Concepta (CPT)  head honcho has purchased 80,000 shares at 12.175p. He now owns 293,333 shares so in that context this is a decent purchase. We'd hope to see more boardroom buying soon but expect also to see more hard news on order flow very soon.

28 June 2017, 11:05 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Bulletin Board Moron Evil Knievil still wrong on Watchstone

I guess if you write for a website that makes the Official Jimmy Saville Fan Club website seem well read and popular, it forces one to also post on Bulletin Boards in order that your words of wisdom/attempts to ramp your flagging portfolio reach an audience of more than three men and a dog. Speaking of dogs - Watchstone (WTG) is stock which bear raider turned Bulletin Board Moron Evil Knievil has long argued is worth 500p. The shares are now 140p ( and falling) after yesterday's massive revelations from me HERE.

28 June 2017, 08:23 | By Tom Winnifrith |

The fake news Guardian - misleading headline on Brexit and EU workers leaving

I bet the BBC News picks up on it and runs with it too. But its sister publication is quick out of the blocks...The Guardian today runs with a raft of misleading headlines and other fake news as is its wont but the one on Brexit driving EU workers abroad wins the prize. The left wing rag with plunging sales and spiralling losses states: "Almost half of highly skilled EU workers 'could leave UK within five years". The sub head is "Deloitte study finds 47% were considering leaving after Brexit, while overall one-third of non-British workers could leave". Right, okay but hang on what did the survey actually say and was it big enough to be statistically valid?

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27 June 2017, 10:03 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Advanced Oncotherapy – Annual Report published: Guess what?????

AIM-listed Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) has released its full Annual Report. Having looked yesterday at a few things I thought it would be worth a second look – especially in the light of a clean audit report from RPG Crouch Chapman. Mea culpa to myself and Tom who expected something different, but hang on a minute…

27 June 2017, 10:20 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Mayan Energy the dog has a new trick but it makes no sense at all - coke & hookers better value

Another day and another director walks, a new strategy is adopted and yet more confetti is issued by AIM casino uber dog Mayan Energy (MYN), formally the hound known as Northcote Energy. But this latest move just makes no sense at all. Let me explain with a little bit of help from a friend....

27 June 2017, 08:13 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Strat Aero - reality setting in - do not BUY!

I warned you in explicit terms yesterday that the doubling of the Strat Aero (AERO) share price to 0.14p on the back of results which can best be described as a shit sandwich with dollops of jam tomorrow on top, was not justified. The shares have now slumped back to 0.09p-0.11p (TW 7, BBMs 0 once again) but do not BUY now for there are still deluded fools abroad.

28 June 2017, 08:22 | By HotStockRockets |

Metal Tiger – news from Spain, but the real news we want still to come - BUY

Metal Tiger (MTR) has updated on exploration at the Logrosan Minerals joint venture in Spain – helping the shares currently slightly higher to 2.03p mid.

28 June 2017, 08:16 | By Tom Winnifrith |

In Gold We Trust 2017

A year ago Ronald Stoeferle stated that we were at the very beginning of a bull market in gold, He was wrong. He says that was stopped by Donald Trump. Gold and commodities are dirt cheap when compared to stocks. Equities, bonds, and real estate are at or near their all time highs. He thinks the dollar is close to rolling over.

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28 June 2017, 08:20 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Advanced Oncotherapy - letter to Financial Reporting Council re uber dodgy accounts

In a sense this is not that relevant as Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) is within a couple of months of running out of cash and going tits up but on a point of principle I have written to the my very good friends at the Financial Reporting Council as there are aspects of Advanced's 2016 annual report and accounts which stink more than a pile of rotting kippers left out at a sewage farm in the scorching midday heat. The letter follows:

28 June 2017, 11:04 | By Gary Newman |

Shenanigans at Blenheim Natural Resources need investigating

A few weeks ago I penned a piece on Blenheim Natural Resources (BNR) in which I was highly skeptical of the recent holdings RNSs from a certain Pershing Nominees/Valbury Capital.

27 June 2017, 12:41 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Servision - how do you keep lots of idiots in suspense? We'll tell its shareholders on Friday

Worthless AIM listed piece of excrement Servision (SEV) always seems to report its results at the last possible moment to avoid suspension on the casino. In 2016 calendar 2015 numbers (piss poor) arrived on the 30 June deadline day. For 2016 its a slam dunk bet that the numbers (piss poor) will arrive this Friday on deadline day. Why is that?