ShareProphets

Wednesday 24 May 2017 The one stop source for free breaking news, expert analysis, and videos on AIM and LSE listed shares


30 January 2013, 15:03 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Highland Gold Full Year Trading Statement: Buy at 114.5p target 200p

AIM-listed, Russia producing miner Highland Gold (HGM) has published a calendar 2012 trading update which reads very well. There was an 18% increase in group wide production to a record 216,885 ounces of gold and gold equivalents, exceeding guidance estimates of 200,000-215,000 ounces. The shares have ticked up to 114.5p on the news capitalising the company at £372.5 million. I wrote positively on them, at 91p, shortly before Christmas so I am already partially vindicated. But this re-rating has a lot further to go.

29 January 2013, 14:04 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Aquarius Platinum Quarterlies: Reiterate buy at 62.5p with an 80p target

On Christmas Eve I noted that there looked to be value in shares in main market listed Aquarius Platinum (AQP) at 55p. Earlier this month the shares hit more than 75p but currently trade at 62.25p, capitalising the company at £296 million, following the announcement today of production results for the quarter ended 31st December 2012. So is it time to bank gains and sell?

28 January 2013, 13:56 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Falklands Oil & Gas – sell into latest hype

Shares in all of the Falklands oil plays are ahead today thanks to a presentation by Border’s & Southern (BOR) which seems to have excited a few folk although to me it seems to contain a lot of ifs and jam tomorrow. I remain bearish on that stock but even more so on Falklands Oil & Gas (FOGL) , shares in which are 3% ahead on the Borders hype at 32.5p. I have been a long time bear of this company and would regard this temporary spike as an ideal cue for shareholders to get out for reasons that I explain below.

28 January 2013, 13:54 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Ruspetro: Refinancing helps but debt and delivery (or lack of it) the issue

Russian Oil Producer Ruspetro (RPO) has announced a partial debt for equity swap and refinancing of its remaining debts. This is good news. However before those who ignored my advice to sell at 83.5p on 4th January after an almost comical well after hours profits warning start to celebrate this company still faces serious issues. The shares have bounced back to 49.5p but while they are no longer a short I would still regard them as one to avoid.

25 January 2013, 13:52 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Globo Trading Statement - Speculative Buy

AIM-listed provider of mobile, Software-as-a-Service and telecom software products and services Globo Plc (GBO) has today announced that it “has achieved a financial performance for 2012 ahead of market expectations” and that, having completed a “transformation into a truly international technology vendor in the hottest place in the technology market today”, it aims to continue doing so. With, on the back of the trading update, the shares currently more than 6% higher at 29.5p, capitalising the company at £100 million is it too late to get on board?

24 January 2013, 13:47 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Afren: Not Fundamentally cheap

Earlier this week Afren plc (AFR), a FTSE-250 oil and gas exploration and production company which despite its size remains a darling of the Bulletin Boards, updated investors on its performance in 2012 and its outlook. This review helped the shares up to 152.5p although they have subsequently slipped back to 147p which capitalises the company at £1.595 billion. Chartists will note that 152p proved a resistance level ten months ago and failure to breach that level ( which had been support a ten months prior to that) saw the shares fall back to 100p. But I’d rather burn my West Ham season tickets and start supporting Spurs than become a Technical analyst and so I review the fundamental case.

23 January 2013, 13:40 | By Tom Winnifrith |

OCADO - Outlook Challenging And Dangerously Overpriced?

Shares in UK online grocer and FTSE-250 constituent Ocado Group (OCDO) closed more than 6% higher, at 101p, yesterday on the back of news that the high-profile ex-Marks & Spencer boss Sir Stuart Rose is to take a Non-Executive Chairman role at the company. With this following a trading update from the company last week, the following is my take on the current investment proposition here…

22 January 2013, 13:42 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Cape – Dividend will be held: Buy at 228.5p for a 6.13% yield

Cape (CIU), the FTSE 250 constituent which provides essential, non-mechanical support services to the energy and mineral resources sectors had a pretty dreadful 2012. On 29th March its CEO Martin May stood down with immediate effect. Six months later we had a repeat announcement, this time it was the FD going. In between the company served up a dismal set of interim numbers, 

18 January 2013, 13:46 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Telecom Plus: I was wrong to bank gains: Buy

Telecom Plus (TEP), now a FTSE-250 constituent, is a very successful past share recommendation from myself. I recommended the shares at 187.25p in January 2008 on t1ps.com, the site I founded in 2000 and ran until September when I left and set up the Nifty Fifty website. Prematurely, I banked gains at 691p in July 2011. The shares dipped below 600p that August but have since risen again, to currently trade at 975.5p, capitalising the company at more than £687 million. The following details my current view…

18 January 2013, 13:38 | By Tom Winnifrith |

ASOS Trading Statement: Evil Knievil and the Bears will carry on getting burned

AIM-listed international online fashion retailer ASOS (ASC) has published a positive update on December trading – sending the shares up to £26.60, which capitalises it at more than £2.19 billion. The following reviews the trading announcement and current investment proposition from this company that great bear Evil Knievil has consistently shorted and consistently got wrong…

17 January 2013, 13:36 | By Tom Winnifrith |

JD Wetherspoon Trading Statement – Not My Cup of Tea

UK pub owner and operator and FTSE-250 constituent JD Wetherspoon (JDW) has today provided an update on current trading ahead of its results for the six months ending 27th January 2013, which are expected to be announced on 15th March. The share price has risen from a little over 370p in May to 518.5p at the close today but I am struggling to see why anyone should get that excited about the state of play.

16 January 2013, 13:35 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Medusa Mining: Is it time to buy again?

London and Australia listed Philippines gold producer, Medusa Mining (MML) is a top recommendation from my past. I recommended the shares on t1ps.com, the site I founded in 2000 and left in September 2012 to establish the Nifty Fifty, at 49p in August 2008 and recommended selling at 426.5p in December 2010. 

15 January 2013, 21:26 | By Robert Sutherland Smith |

National Grid: Buy for Yield at 687p

The observation about things being in the price is usually a prelude to the conclusion that a share price is well up with events; more than discounting prospects and one where a profit should be taken. On this occasion, in respect to that dullest of shares, the National Grid, (NG.) it means the opposite.  Dull and boring, as my friend and former t1ps colleague Tom Winnifrith often says in relation to shares, is sexy. At my age I have long forgotten what he means by that but I think I get his general point and agree.

15 January 2013, 13:33 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Shanta Gold – Getting There: Buy at 23p

It was not a good Autumn for AIM listed Shanta Gold (SHG) but the last two RNS statements from the company demonstrate that it is both soundly financed and that, at last, it is delivering operationally. The shares have always had clear latent value it is just that investors have had a number of (utterly valid) reasons for not believing. But the times they are a changing.

15 January 2013, 13:32 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Mothercare: No Raison d’etre - sell

The Christmas trading reports from the retailers do not make for pretty reading. There are some who simply cite consumer confidence (or lack of it) in austerity Britain. But I would suggest that there are far wider structural changes afoot, ones that make me wonder if some companies really have a raison d’etre at all going forward. If it did not exist already would anyone bother to establish Mothercare (MTC)? Somehow I rather doubt it. Certainly when it publishes its Christmas trading statement on Thursday it will be grim.

11 January 2013, 21:28 | By Robert Sutherland Smith |

GlaxoSmithKline: 5.3% historic yield sufficient to merit a buy

Medical matters are on my mind as I have the Norovirus. But it takes more than that to stop me writing about companies but naturally my mind turns to drugs. Well I was a young man in the sixties – the 1960s not the 1860s before you ask. Talking of ancient history, the market long ago abandoned the assumption that GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) would automatically build a pathway for shareholders to a starlight future of endless profits and earnings growth, by simply spending 15% of its sales revenue on R&D, and turning that into an approved blockbuster therapy every few years. In truth, costs rose and progress became more difficult – the return on R&D capital was not acceptable.

11 January 2013, 13:30 | By Tom Winnifrith |

IQE: Placing, Trading Statement and Aquisition all look very good

On January 10th IQE (IQE), the Wales based supplier of advanced semiconductor wafer products and services IQE announced a $75 million ($60 million on completion and $15 million payable on the third anniversary of completion) acquisition, a £16.5 million placing of new shares with institutional investors at 29p each and a 2012 trading statement.  Having tipped the stock at a 28.75p on this very website on November 19th -I am feeling rather smug 

11 January 2013, 01:24 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Pace Micro: Upbeat Trading statement but shares still cheap

FTSE-250 constituent Pace plc (PIC), a developer of technologies and products for PayTV and broadband, has today announced that, following a strong second half year performance, its “full year results are anticipated to be ahead of the board's previous guidance”. The shares have responded by trading approaching 5% higher at 202p, capitalising the company at £625 million. The following reviews the investment proposition here…

11 January 2013, 01:07 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Greggs: Poor Trading Update – Reiterate Sell at 444p

Yesterday Greggs (GRG), the leading bakery retailer in the UK with more than 1,670 retail outlets, released an update on trading for the Christmas and New Year period (5 weeks ended 5th January 2013) and for its 2012 financial year (52 weeks ended 29th December 2012). This included that the company anticipates that it “will report full year results broadly in line with expectations when we make our preliminary announcement on 13 March 2013”. However there were caveats and with concerns about the UK economy and consumer spending – particularly on the high street, the following is my take on the current outlook for this company…

10 January 2013, 01:21 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Centamin Publishes Record Q4 Results but that still leaves it as a sell

Centamin (CEY), the London and Canada listed gold miner operating in Egypt, has announced record quarterly gold production of 85,543 ounces for the period closing December 31st 2012 – taking full year production to 262,958 ounces, a 30% increase on 2011 and above guidance of 250,000 ounces. The shares have responded by currently trading just over 5.5p higher at 49.75p, capitalising the company at just under £550 million. The company emphasises the numbers as “particularly pleasing given the challenges faced during the year” but the announcement also makes clear that challenges remain. The following details my current view…

23 May 2017, 15:23 | By ShareProphets |

The May edition of the UK Investor Magazine is live - Tips, UK Investor Show photo feature, and the the end of the EU

The May edition of the UK Investor Show Magazine is live featuring three share tips from Gary Newman, the Greek meltown is worse than everyone thinks, and the EU is not fit for purpose plus a photofeature from the 2017 UK Investor Show.

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21 May 2017, 12:58 | By ShareProphets |

New Bulletin Board Moron of the Week Contest - sponsored by Quindell founder & fraudster Rob Terry

This week's sponsor, serial company founder Rob Terry, has been in the news this past week over a lawsuit brought by Aussie legal poltroons Slater & Gorden claiming to be deceived over the legal division that they bought from Quindell. Slater & Gordon will probably do just fine unless Quindell (QPP) or Watchstone (WTG) as it is called these days, points out ShareProphets sent S&G a docket of articles before the purchase went through. Anything to help the boys and girls at Quindell!

17 May 2017, 08:18 | By Malcolm Stacey |

In Touch Company Deserves Your Attention as Profits Rise

Hello Share Shufflers. There is a Geordie company which wages war on switches and buttons. It makes touch sensors. You’ll see this kind of technology everywhere these days, beginning with your mobile phone.

17 May 2017, 08:33 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Advanced Oncotherapy – yet another director ponies up, EGM seemingly avoided and Bracknor converts. Most bizarre

Well this is most bizarre! Lobster-potted Bracknor has converted another lump of its death-spiral loan notes. That, of course, is not a great surprise until you study the detail of yesterday morning’s announcement from AIM-listed Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO), where we discover that the conversion shares have been issued not at the lowest daily volume-weighted average price of the past 15 days (21.35p) as per previously announced conversion terms, but at 25p (par price of the shares). Why has Bracknor elected to pay a 17% premium?

17 May 2017, 08:32 | By Darren Atwater |

Labour's manifesto doesn't just make sense, it adds up

The Tory-controlled media has been working overtime to convince voters that Labour wants a return to the bad old days of the 70s, with its fox hunts, its universities for the elites, and, wait... that's not right. Oh yes, the Tory-controlled media says that the Labour manifesto is a pinko-commie cloud-cookoo land fiscal LSD dream. It turns out that it is not.

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17 May 2017, 08:44 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Labour's Maths does not add up - Darren Atwater, Paul Mason and all the other London elitists are innumerate

Our in-house remoaning, money tree-worshipping, metropolitan elitist, Darren Atwater has posted an article suggesting that Labour's manifesto maths adds up. Maybe Diane Abbott and Darren think so, but no-one else will be fooled.

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17 May 2017, 08:33 | By Pizza Hardman Darren Atwater |

17 May 2017, 09:37 | By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore |

Petropavlovsk – board structure update amidst attempted coup

Petropavlovsk (POG) has updated on the attempted boardroom coup – including on its process to appoint an independent Non-Executive Chairman, a further independent Non-Executive director and opposition to the requisitioning shareholder nominees.

17 May 2017, 09:48 | By HotStockRockets |

Optibiotix - launch of Slimbiome and LPLDL products. Read closely & buy

OptiBiotix Health (OPTI) has announced what it terms the "successful" launch of its SlimBiome® and LPLDL® products at the Vitafoods Europe tradeshow in Geneva from the 9-11 of May 2017. The event provided the opportunity to connect with 16,500 industry decision makers from the supplements, nutraceutical, functional food and beverage industries. This is viewed as one of the world's leading trade fairs for the food and drinks industry. Yadda, yadda, yadda. Companies always say launches are successful. More jam tomorrow. So what. Etc. But no read on... We have underlined a few key words for you.

17 May 2017, 10:01 | By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore |

InterQuest – possible management buyout offer, a piss take

With shares in InterQuest (ITQ) yesterday having increased on the day from comfortably below 40p to well above, at 3:51pm (noting the “recent share price movement” - nothing suspicious to concern AIM regulation then!) a newly created company (Chisbridge Ltd) formed by Gary Ashworth, Chris Eldridge and David Bygrave (respectively InterQuest Chairman, CEO and CFO and 33.3%, 0% and 0.1% shareholders) ‘confirmed’ “that it is evaluating making an offer for InterQuest at 42 pence per share in cash with a full loan note alternative”. They're taking the piss, surely...

17 May 2017, 12:50 | By Steve Moore |

Proxama – having spent “throughout 2016” trying to sell Digital Payments division, now asks us to believe it’s “the best owner” after all!

Proxama (PROX), 13th December 2016: “We have been reviewing various options throughout 2016 to sell the Digital Payments division with a priority being to maximise shareholder value… The company remains committed to the sale and we believe that it will be completed”Today: “the board has concluded that we remain the best owner for Digital Payments division… retaining this division as part of the group, with an updated strategy”. Haha – so having spent “throughout 2016” trying to sell the business and stating it “committed to the sale”, we’re now asked to believe that the company is actually “the best owner” for the business after all!?!...

17 May 2017, 15:10 | By Steve Moore |

Foxtons – Q1 2017 trading update, still a short?

London estate agency Foxtons (FOXT) has updated on the first quarter of 2017, seeing a significant decline in revenue on the corresponding 2016 period though arguing “performance has been in line with the board's expectations”

17 May 2017, 16:44 | By Steve Moore |

Corero – announces “secures second $1m+ SmartWall customer”. How much is the order for?

An announcement entitled “Corero (CNS) secures second $1m+ SmartWall customer”. Sounds good but, having previously written bearishly on this company, let’s take a look at the detail here…

18 May 2017, 08:03 | By Malcolm Stacey |

As Hackers and Computer Bandits Grow in Strength, so Does the Presence of this Techno Sheriff

Hello Share Graters. I’m always trying to find companies you may not be aware of. It’s a way of widening the scope of this largely critical website. Today I commend to your further investigation a company called Defenx (DFX).

18 May 2017, 08:12 | By Tom Winnifrith |

If Corbyn wins the election I'd be better off moving my business to Greece - the simple maths

Jeremy Corbyn has promised to raise Corporation Tax from 19% to 26%, while the tax on dividends in the UK is now 25%. As far as I know that is not going to be increased by Labour, but who knows? The bottom line is that, as a part-time Greek resident but UK taxpayer, it actually makes sense for me to become a Greek resident and Greek taxpayer if Labour wins. Yes, this economic basket case run by socialist lunatics is a better place for me to do my business than a Corbyn-run Britain. Here are the maths....

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18 May 2017, 10:11 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Advanced Oncotherapy – another Bracknor Conversion, but look at the terms: how’s the Going Concern statement coming along?

Well, well. How do you issue shares at a discount to par? Simple: pay a whopping fee to the subscriber. AIM-listed Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) has announced another loan note conversion under its death-spiral funding package with Bracknor and a new fee seems to have appeared which might just derail discussions between the company and its auditor as they work on the going concern statement for the forthcoming FY16 results due out by the end of next month. Oh dear, oh dear.

18 May 2017, 09:56 | By Tom Winnifrith |

K3 Business Technology – another profit warning, faith lost. Sell.

K3 Business Technology (KBT) has updated that it “now believes that the results for the year to 30 June 2017 will be significantly below current market expectations” as “certain large Enterprise contracts have not been secured as expected”...

23 May 2017, 15:23 | By ShareProphets |

The May edition of the UK Investor Magazine is live - Tips, UK Investor Show photo feature, and the the end of the EU

The May edition of the UK Investor Show Magazine is live featuring three share tips from Gary Newman, the Greek meltown is worse than everyone thinks, and the EU is not fit for purpose plus a photofeature from the 2017 UK Investor Show.

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22 May 2017, 08:26 | By Nigel Somerville |

Is Tom Winnifrith right to out companies doing placings?

The busting of a placing by AIM-listed UK Oil and Gas (UKOG) at 1p by Tom Winnifrith has caused a bit of controversy. It is not the first time he has been accused of being irresponsible by blowing the lid on a placing only for it to be pulled or the price dropped. Anyone left holding the baby gets their fingers burned – in the recent example quite badly if they had been buying into the ramp at north of 1.4p only to see the company raise cash at just 0.8p. Is it right?

23 May 2017, 15:23 | By Tom Winnifrith |

New Bulletin Board Moron of the week sponsored by Granny Snuffs & Wildes

The nauseating Mail on Sunday fawned upon Pippa Middleton and her ghastly family as they celebrated the "wedding of the Year"Bring on the revolution! But perhaps the real wedding of the year should be between our two very own in-house Bulletin Board Morons GrannySnuffs & Wildes who seem made for each other. can you find examples on the LSE Asylum, iii, ADVFN or twitter of comments more idiotic than those of our own dream team? If so post in the comments section below, the deadline is midnight Sunday 28th May.

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22 May 2017, 15:31 | By Steve Moore |

Infrastrata – cash crunch & sack-the-board General Meeting ahoy… so it’s strategic review time!

Having bought itself some time by declaring an initial sack-the-board General Meeting requisition “invalid” (a revised, valid requisition announced by it at an attempted ‘no one watching o’clock’, 5:15 pm, on Friday), Infrastrata (INFA) has this afternoon made a “Review of stategic options & project update” announcement...

22 May 2017, 16:31 | By Nigel Somerville |

Minoan – acquisition, placing, debt update

AIM-listed travel agent and wannabe Greek holiday resort developer Minoan (MIN) announced a small bolt-on acquisition this morning….and a placing. Oh, and an update on its debt facility due to expire at the end of June. It is disappointing to see a placing (at 9p), but in the general scheme of things it is a relatively small amount so the pill is sugared to some extent.

22 May 2017, 08:24 | By Pizza Hardman Darren Atwater |

23 May 2017, 08:35 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Amryt at 22.5p worth 62p - new 44 page report

Take a look! European investors are clearly failing to grasp the very significant financial and commercial benefits available for Orphan or Rare Disease drug developers. So much so in fact, that sector-focussed Amryt Pharma (AMYT) finds no quoted peers in London, yet a good basket of NASDAQ-listed comparables are seen to command a significant premium despite mostly being pre-revenue and somewhat earlier in their development. Such anomalies can and, of course, do rapidly correct. 

23 May 2017, 08:35 | By Cynical Bear |

Challenger Acquisitions: Shameful rampathon – the FCA should investigate

Any reader of my pieces will know I hold Challenger Acquisitions (CHAL) in pretty low regard but the outrageous ramping that has now gone on for the last four trading days is an absolute disgrace and the FCA should take a look. I’ll explain.

22 May 2017, 10:03 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Eden Research - Financials suggest its going tits up, FRC pans it after my request), Part 1

Eden Research (EDEN) has today published godawful results and admitted that my very good friends at the Financial Reporting Council (FRC) investigated it - after I requested such an investigation - and have forced it to restate past numbers. It claims that the FRC has now settled all matters. Au contraire. that is another lie from the fraudsters and there are many more porkies in this statement. Truly, the pants of shamed PR Paul Queenie McManus of Walbrook will be cinders and ash after this effort. This all came out as Eden published Godawful numbers for calendar 2016.

23 May 2017, 08:34 | By ShareProphets |

UK Investor Show 2017 ‘Dragon’s Den’ picks update

The sold-out success that was the 1st April 2017 UK Investor Show again saw five 'Dragon's Den' sessions where a number of CEOs each gave a pitch and three Dragons each picked one stock for a £1,000 investment. How are they faring so far?...

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23 May 2017, 08:34 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Andalas raises £600,000 - which means net cash is less than ZERO - it's still bust & worthless

With some great investigative journalism of which this website would have been proud, Brokerman Dan flushed it out a few weeks ago. The former bank robber - correctly - stated that Andalas (ADL) was looking to raise £1 million at 0.06p and the AIM listed crock of shit suspended its shares. Today they are unsuspended after the company raised £600,000 at 0.1p. It says this is at a premium to the suspension price. But it is a spoof, Andalas is still bust. It is insolvent as of today!

22 May 2017, 10:02 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Malcolm Stacey misquotes me but is wrong about Inmarsat anyway - don't fight the tide

Malcolm Stacey is old enough to know about King Canute. In fact he is so old that he was there as a boy when the King sat in his chair on the beach and attempted to turn back the tide. Malcolm surely you remember the day as if it was yesterday? In which case why do you forget this valuable lesson when it comes to Inmarsat (ISAT) and your article today in which you misquote me and get it wrong in so many other ways.

22 May 2017, 10:01 | By David Scott |

Elect a clown, get a Circus

"A credit crunch is brewing and when it happens, the UK is going to get hurt."  These are not my words but the start of the Editorial in this weekend’s Guardian. The article then went on to say "That is the message emerging from senior executives in the financial services industry, who do not think Britain has changed that much since the 2008 credit disaster and the devastating crash that followed. Three developments lie at the heart of this disturbing analysis: spectacular growth in the sale of second mortgages, car loans and credit cards." I would heartily agree with these comments as this is my experience too. But what the article fails to say is that the UK is not alone in this debt bubble - once more it is a Global issue.

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22 May 2017, 08:09 | By Malcolm Stacey |

After Falling to Earth, This Sci-fi Share May Rocket, Once Mr Spock Locks On

Hello Share Scoopers. There have been quite a few occasions now that I’ve commended a Footsie satellite company to your attention. On each mention, as I recall, the share grew in value. However, last year the shares took a big knock.

23 May 2017, 08:16 | By Malcolm Stacey |

All Eyes On OPEC. Will It Come Up with Goods or Will our Oil Shares Slide Down a Greasy Pole?

One of the most fascinating scenes I’ve seen for some time is the sight of Big Donald jigging around with some sort of weird entertainment put on by the Saudi’s for the President's visit. It almost made me forget the big benefit of this amiable state visit on share shifters like us. And that of course is that the President’s friendly reception sent the oil price up.

22 May 2017, 11:35 | By Steve Moore |

Corero Network Security – service launch of a contract announced a month ago. Ramptastic!

An announcement from Corero Network Security (CNS) with a headline “Corero Tier 1 Internet service provider customer GTT Communications, Inc. launches DDoS Mitigation service”. Then “further to the announcement on 19 April 2017 regarding a Global Tier 1 Internet service provider customer win… announces that the customer, GTT Communications, Inc. (NYSE: GTT), has launched its DDoS Mitigation service”“Global Tier 1” now hey! And you what? The contract win has already been announced? Ramptastic…