So that old fashioned (in scale) and very British (Yorkshire) non global business of supplying the 7% of the UK’s electricity has, as part of the price of converting half its highly efficient coal fired electricity generation capacity, to the generation of electric power from biomass - mainly imported, fast growing replaceable timber – is off the stock market's higher end dividend tariff. Before its results for last year to 31st December 2012, on a then share price of 609p, the published dividend yield for Drax (DRX) was 4.3%. That was then this is now.
Shares in EMIS Group (EMIS), a leading UK supplier of clinical software and related services to GP practices and other healthcare practitioners and a major software supplier to high street pharmacies, commenced 2013 at more than 900p but fell more than 16.5% (to 750p) on 24th January as the company reported “lower than planned revenues from the Australian defence contract, training and integrated care services. Group adjusted operating profit is expected to be marginally below analysts’ expectations, largely as a result of the accelerated staff and recruitment costs associated with the EMIS Web roll out and the slight revenue shortfalls highlighted above”. The shares have further declined since to trade at a current 650p, capitalising this AIM-listed company at £380.5 million. The following analyses whether this current, lower level represents value…
Phoenix IT Group (PNX), a fully-listed IT services company to UK enterprises, updated last week (13th February 2013) that it “currently believes the Group’s EBITDA for the year to 31 March 2013 will be around 10% below market expectations, but is encouraged by an improving order book and pipeline”. Having traded at more than 230p in 2012 and commenced 2013 at 184p, the shares presently trade at 157p, capitalising the company at £118.3 million. In light of the ‘improving order book and pipeline’, the following reviews whether there is value on offer here…
The share price of RBS (RBS) has headed due south since my bearish comments on the company last month. Reviewing the share in terms of its future dividend paying capacity in the light of recent history, I observed that in the different world and circumstance of 2007 ( when bank capital adequacy was seemingly almost inconsequential and some banks were running on low or dubious capital or both ) RBS had distributed only 30% of its earnings as dividends. That implied on a totally theoretical, best expectation 30% dividend payout from 36p of earnings per share, a dividend of 11..9p; translating into by way of academic exercise, into an annual yield of a mere 3.3%.
There are two things about energy supplier SSE Plc (it was until recently known as Scottish and Southern Electricity - which used to prompt thoughts of hairy highlanders incongruously tossing cables at a vicarage lawn tea party presided over by Miss Marples) which makes its shares a good dividend income play. But also, a share with some potential for long term capital appreciation relative to the FTSE 100 Index.
A report lands on my desk today from Edison Research on AIM Listed Gulfsands Petroleum (GPX) entitled “The road out of Damascus.” This report was commissioned by Gulfsands ( i.e. paid for) and so one would not expect a bearish conclusion. ‘tis always the way with research reports from commissioned firms ( like Edison or Hardman) or from a house broker - they want to say buy but sometimes just cannot do so. And so you get what is known as a “corporate hold” . i.e. sell. There is no recommendation on the report but with the shares at 111.75p it sets a risked valuation of the stock at 119p. I cannot see why anyone would buy a share for just 6% upside. Any sane investor would sell and switch into a stock with more upside.
Entertainment One (ETO), the London main market listed producer and distributor of film and television content, has updated that “full year earnings are anticipated to be in line with management’s expectations” on underlying revenue up 11% in the 10 month period to end January. The shares have risen from a 13.5p low hit in the depths of the markets 2009 despair to a current 188p. They did however trade above 200p in late 2011/early 2012 and, with a present market cap in excess of £500 million, the following offers my current take here…
A raft of announcements have been made by Sirius Minerals (SXX) today but amid the verbage the clear drift is not positive. The shares are off – at 25.25p – but the company is still valued at £339 million. That simply cannot be justified.I did suggest that holders at least top slice on January 31st at 27.75p as bulletin board frothed with excitement on news that the company had submitted a planning application for its Potash mine on the North York Moors – you can read that piece HERE
Bear raiders Lucian Miers and Evil Knievil are meeting for lunch today. I know, as I was invited but my liver is not up to it. However the main course should be humble pie. The bears predicted that Avanti would miss its targets at the interim stage. Moreover the results demonstrate very clearly that it is already more than two thirds of the way to hitting 2014 (not a misprint) numbers and that it continues to win business. The shares are a buy at 265p and could move sharply as the bears are squeezed. I sense that margin calls could well be served up at Evil towers today in time for pudding.
Telecom Plus (TEP), which trades as the Utility Warehouse and supplies a range of utility services (gas, electricity, fixed line telephony, mobile telephony and broadband internet) to both residential and business customers in the UK, has updated that a “continuing strong performance” means it remains “confident of reporting full year profits in line with current consensus market expectations”. The shares trade at 980p on the back of the announcement and are up from sub 300p on a three year view and from sub 650p on a one year view. With a market cap now of approaching £700 million, the following reviews whether there looks to remain value in the shares…
Shares in big data provider WANdisco (WAND) have raced ahead by 62.5p today on the back of a new product launch. For those who followed my advice to have a nibble at 493p on January 6th the reward is pretty clear. That WANdisco is making progress is without doubt but are we all getting a bit ahead of ourselves?
AIM listed GMA Resources (GMA) has just returned from an eight month suspension. A cash shell (with not a lot of cash) following the failure of its last hydrocarbon business venture it has now announced a RTO which will see it owning 90% of two mining assets in Kazakhstan. The shares returned from suspension on February 5th and promptly soared to 0.9p which in effect valued the business at £700 million. That forced the company to issue a statement re-explaining its share structure – in effect saying its stock was overvalued. The shares still trade at 0.24p but are still at least 60% overvalued.
Following from my piece on AIM-listed GB Group yesterday, I today comment on a fellow AIM-listed tech stock which also updated on trading towards the end of last month; Craneware plc (CRW). Despite its name and its being incorporated and headquartered in Scotland (Edinburgh), the company is actually a software provider focused on the US healthcare market. With offices in Atlanta, Arizona, Massachusetts and Tennessee, its software helps hospitals and other healthcare providers more effectively price, charge, code and retain revenue for patient care services and supplies – increasing their efficiency and minimising compliance risk. The following reviews the company’s recent trading update and investment outlook…
Russian Oil producer Ruspetro (RPO) has served up another shocking statement this morning – its habit of delivering nasty surprises does not change. Having advised a short at 83.5p on January 4th I suggested on 25th of January that having refinanced its debt it was “merely one to avoid.” The shock today is that it has decided not to refinance its debt or to undertake the partial debt for equity swap announced on January 25th. This leaves its cash position looking very tricky indeed and at 50.5p the shares are once again a sell.
Shares in AIM-listed GB Group (GBG) have been strong performers over recent years – commencing 2010 trading at 21p, they currently trade at 94.25p – capitalising the company at more than £100 million. Following a trading update last week, does value remain here?
Imagination Technologies (IMG) is clearly a good company. It is profitable, it is growing its sales rapidly, there is operational gearing and it generates cash and has a net cash position. It ticks all the boxes and is thus loved by investors retail and institutional. But at 523p the company is capitalised at £1.37 billion and on the basis of what is known that share price looks overheated. The shares are a sell.
After many years of scratching around Southern Africa for a project with real prospects AIM listed Boabab (BAO) appears to have found something that could be a winner in the form of the Tete pig iron/vanadium/titanium target in Mozambique. With iron ore stocks all rallying sharply in the past two or three months on the back of hopes of resurgence in Chinese demand, Baobab shares have raced ahead to 35.75p which values this company at £106 million. This is a stock that has now got far ahead of its fundamental value and I can reveal that last week well known bear raider Lucian Miers opened up a short. That is a good call which you should follow.
Earlier this month I advocated a purchase of National Grid (NG.) for dividend yield. This week the company published its interim management statement for the period 1 October 2012 to 28 January 2013. It seems that my reading of the runes were pretty much correct. Regulatory management is shown to be going according to plan and shows no obvious signs of not moving into an expected new dance like embrace of mutual understanding and agreement between the regulator and company for the years following 2013.
I commented previously on London and Australia-listed, Philippines-focused gold producer Medusa Mining (MML) earlier this month. Earlier this week the shares suffered a bit of a setback on the company’s publication of its quarterly activity report (to end December 2012) which has spooked some investors into selling. On balance that is, in my view, a mistake.
AIM-listed Sirius Minerals (SXX) has announced it has delivered application documents for the onshore mining and mine access infrastructure for its York potash project to the North York Moors National Park Authority. This news on what is a potentially significant development in the UK has helped shares in Sirius – which commenced 2010 at sub 5p and 2011 at sub 14p – slightly higher to a current 27.75p, capitalising the company at £373 million. The following reviews today’s announcement from the company and the investment proposition here…
The May edition of the UK Investor Show Magazine is live featuring three share tips from Gary Newman, the Greek meltown is worse than everyone thinks, and the EU is not fit for purpose plus a photofeature from the 2017 UK Investor Show.
The busting of a placing by AIM-listed UK Oil and Gas (UKOG) at 1p by Tom Winnifrith has caused a bit of controversy. It is not the first time he has been accused of being irresponsible by blowing the lid on a placing only for it to be pulled or the price dropped. Anyone left holding the baby gets their fingers burned – in the recent example quite badly if they had been buying into the ramp at north of 1.4p only to see the company raise cash at just 0.8p. Is it right?
The nauseating Mail on Sunday fawned upon Pippa Middleton and her ghastly family as they celebrated the "wedding of the Year". Bring on the revolution! But perhaps the real wedding of the year should be between our two very own in-house Bulletin Board Morons GrannySnuffs & Wildes who seem made for each other. can you find examples on the LSE Asylum, iii, ADVFN or twitter of comments more idiotic than those of our own dream team? If so post in the comments section below, the deadline is midnight Sunday 28th May.
Having bought itself some time by declaring an initial sack-the-board General Meeting requisition “invalid” (a revised, valid requisition announced by it at an attempted ‘no one watching o’clock’, 5:15 pm, on Friday), Infrastrata (INFA) has this afternoon made a “Review of stategic options & project update” announcement...
AIM-listed travel agent and wannabe Greek holiday resort developer Minoan (MIN) announced a small bolt-on acquisition this morning….and a placing. Oh, and an update on its debt facility due to expire at the end of June. It is disappointing to see a placing (at 9p), but in the general scheme of things it is a relatively small amount so the pill is sugared to some extent.
It was a keen competition this week. But we have found a winner.
Take a look! European investors are clearly failing to grasp the very significant financial and commercial benefits available for Orphan or Rare Disease drug developers. So much so in fact, that sector-focussed Amryt Pharma (AMYT) finds no quoted peers in London, yet a good basket of NASDAQ-listed comparables are seen to command a significant premium despite mostly being pre-revenue and somewhat earlier in their development. Such anomalies can and, of course, do rapidly correct.
Any reader of my pieces will know I hold Challenger Acquisitions (CHAL) in pretty low regard but the outrageous ramping that has now gone on for the last four trading days is an absolute disgrace and the FCA should take a look. I’ll explain.
I have already covered the dire financials of Eden Research that indicate it is just months from trading whilst insolvent as well as its panning by the Financial Reporting Council (FRC) - in response to my urgings. Now to today's monstrous half truths - I am perhaps being 50% too charitable in that description.
Eden Research (EDEN) has today published godawful results and admitted that my very good friends at the Financial Reporting Council (FRC) investigated it - after I requested such an investigation - and have forced it to restate past numbers. It claims that the FRC has now settled all matters. Au contraire. that is another lie from the fraudsters and there are many more porkies in this statement. Truly, the pants of shamed PR Paul Queenie McManus of Walbrook will be cinders and ash after this effort. This all came out as Eden published Godawful numbers for calendar 2016.
The sold-out success that was the 1st April 2017 UK Investor Show again saw five 'Dragon's Den' sessions where a number of CEOs each gave a pitch and three Dragons each picked one stock for a £1,000 investment. How are they faring so far?...
With some great investigative journalism of which this website would have been proud, Brokerman Dan flushed it out a few weeks ago. The former bank robber - correctly - stated that Andalas (ADL) was looking to raise £1 million at 0.06p and the AIM listed crock of shit suspended its shares. Today they are unsuspended after the company raised £600,000 at 0.1p. It says this is at a premium to the suspension price. But it is a spoof, Andalas is still bust. It is insolvent as of today!
Malcolm Stacey is old enough to know about King Canute. In fact he is so old that he was there as a boy when the King sat in his chair on the beach and attempted to turn back the tide. Malcolm surely you remember the day as if it was yesterday? In which case why do you forget this valuable lesson when it comes to Inmarsat (ISAT) and your article today in which you misquote me and get it wrong in so many other ways.
"A credit crunch is brewing and when it happens, the UK is going to get hurt." These are not my words but the start of the Editorial in this weekend’s Guardian. The article then went on to say "That is the message emerging from senior executives in the financial services industry, who do not think Britain has changed that much since the 2008 credit disaster and the devastating crash that followed. Three developments lie at the heart of this disturbing analysis: spectacular growth in the sale of second mortgages, car loans and credit cards." I would heartily agree with these comments as this is my experience too. But what the article fails to say is that the UK is not alone in this debt bubble - once more it is a Global issue.
Hello Share Scoopers. There have been quite a few occasions now that I’ve commended a Footsie satellite company to your attention. On each mention, as I recall, the share grew in value. However, last year the shares took a big knock.
One of the most fascinating scenes I’ve seen for some time is the sight of Big Donald jigging around with some sort of weird entertainment put on by the Saudi’s for the President's visit. It almost made me forget the big benefit of this amiable state visit on share shifters like us. And that of course is that the President’s friendly reception sent the oil price up.
An announcement from Corero Network Security (CNS) with a headline “Corero Tier 1 Internet service provider customer GTT Communications, Inc. launches DDoS Mitigation service”. Then “further to the announcement on 19 April 2017 regarding a Global Tier 1 Internet service provider customer win… announces that the customer, GTT Communications, Inc. (NYSE: GTT), has launched its DDoS Mitigation service”. “Global Tier 1” now hey! And you what? The contract win has already been announced? Ramptastic…
Together Robert Sutherland Smith and Tom Winnifrith have now been working in finance for 71 years - the last ten or so together. Tom wishes to stress that RSS accounts for most of that, the great value investor starting his City career at the Unilever Pension Fund the year before Tom was born. In this book they outline 71 tricks of the trade for making money from shares.
Get the first ShareProphets Pocket Guide ebook, EIS - Buying shares with numerous tax breaks. Want to cut your income tax bill, get loss relief if your AIM listed shares go down, pay no CGT, avoid IHT - EIS could be the way and this book explains how.
Most investment books seem to be large enough to keep the front door open and while some contain gems it is hard to find them amid the verbiage. The aim here is to produce a short guide which simply cuts to the chase. I hope that it will provide food for thought for everyone from beginner to expert but whoever you are it should be quick and easy to read and digest.
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