ShareProphets

Wednesday 26 April 2017 The one stop source for free breaking news, expert analysis, and videos on AIM and LSE listed shares


10 January 2013, 01:21 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Centamin Publishes Record Q4 Results but that still leaves it as a sell

Centamin (CEY), the London and Canada listed gold miner operating in Egypt, has announced record quarterly gold production of 85,543 ounces for the period closing December 31st 2012 – taking full year production to 262,958 ounces, a 30% increase on 2011 and above guidance of 250,000 ounces. The shares have responded by currently trading just over 5.5p higher at 49.75p, capitalising the company at just under £550 million. The company emphasises the numbers as “particularly pleasing given the challenges faced during the year” but the announcement also makes clear that challenges remain. The following details my current view…

9 January 2013, 01:22 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Domino’s Pizza – Serving up a Tasty Trading Statement

Domino's Pizza (DOM), now a FTSE-250 constituent, has been a stellar recommendation from me historically during my 12 years at t1ps.com, but I am currently nervous about the UK economy and consumer spending outlook. Does that dim my faith?  

9 January 2013, 01:04 | By Steve Moore |

Blinx: KoldCast TV deal announced – Speculative Buy

AIM-listed blinkx plc (BLNX), which describes itself as “the world’s largest and most advanced video search engine” , has today announced a further partnership deal – this with KoldCast TV, an international television network of original entertainment programming.

9 January 2013, 01:02 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Dignity – Death is not a one way bet

AIM listed Funeral homes group Dignity (DTY) is one of those companies whose shares always look expensive, but then always seem to head higher. You always kick yourself for not buying the stock, after all we have an ageing population and so death ( like taxes) looks a sort of one way bet. As it happens, that is not the case. At a share price of £11.02 the company is now capitalised at £603 million. Is this justifiable?

7 January 2013, 01:00 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Wandisco – a 2014 PE of 103 but might still be cheap

Normally I would consider that a company that will be loss making unto, calendar 2014 but which at 493p trades on a 2014 PE of 103 would be a slam dunk sell. Wandisco (WAND) is just that company and it cannot be described as a tradition Benjamin Graham style value investment. But before Lucien Miers thinks about shorting the stock, I suggest that he reads on. This is not as simple as it sounds.

7 January 2013, 00:27 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Ruspetro: A shocking profits warning – what is fair value?

Ruspetro (RPO) has already served up a profits warning in 2013 and for its timing as much as its substance it is already in line to win an award for the biggest shock of the year.  The shares closed Friday at 83.5p, valuing the firm at £278.4 million but given that the release went live at 6.30 PM the stock will be hit hard on Monday. At what point should you buy if at all?

5 January 2013, 00:29 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Is Xcite Energy a speculative buy?

Shares in AIM and Canada-listed Xcite Energy (XEL) hit 395p in January 2011 as it reported on a successful “transformational well” drill on its flagship Bentley oil field in the UK Northern North Sea, 160 kilometres east of the Shetland Isles. However, market disappointment at a 10th May 2011 reserves report on Bentley saw the shares fall from 316.5p to close at 110p just seven weeks later. They hit a low of 67.5p in July 2012 and currently trade at 92.75p – capitalising the company at approaching £270 million. The stock is a darling of the Bulletin Boards. But is it good value?

4 January 2013, 22:16 | By Robert Sutherland Smith |

Barclays – Time to bank gains: The yield is too low

Because the yield is too low for a bank (in historic terms), Barclays Bank (BARC)shares are clearly viewed by the market as a ‘momentum’ stock; the elementary investment principle being, that because the shares are going up, buy some more? 

4 January 2013, 00:58 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Centamin: Is it exporting gold or not?

On 20th December fully listed gold miner Centamin (CEY) announced that “following the recently-announced export of gold and resumption of fuel supply, operations have now resumed at Sukari.” The market read this as meaning that output and cashflow generation was now back on track. The shares have thus rallied to 39.3p. But this morning, top broker Fox Davies has published a research report stating “We also understand that gold exports have again been suspended.” Well have they? A RNS statement from Centamin is called for pretty urgently. This is a critical matter but the answer does not matter but the episode reminds us of why the shares are a sell.

3 January 2013, 00:24 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Bellzone Mining: Good News & Hot sector but are the shares ahead of themselves?

Suddenly the price of Iron ore has picked up, spurred by a recovery in Chinese Demand. Iron ore stocks have responded with a number showing sharp gains in the past month. Among the winners is Anglesey Mining (AYM) but also Bellzone (BZM) which has assisted its cause with news on both of its projects in the West African country of Guinea. The Bellzone share price has pushed ahead by 3p to 16p over the past month valuing the company at £117 million but some brokers reckon that it could still double from mere. There is a bear case as well as a bull case.

2 January 2013, 00:22 | By Tom Winnifrith |

My 6th (of 7) tips of the year 2013: Buy Archipelago Resources at 60p

I promised you something for everyone in my 7 tips of the year 2013 and so I now bring you a profitable, cash generative gold producer with exploration upside. As a relatively low cost producer it will keep throwing off cash if the gold price does noting or even falls. At the current gold price it looks very cheap but if, as I expect, gold moves ahead sharply it is very cheap indeed.  My sixth tip of the year 2013 is Archipelago Resources (AR.) which, at 60p, is capitalised at £345 million. This is a stock where at $2000 gold you will double your money within a year.

1 January 2013, 00:14 | By Tom Winnifrith |

My 5th (of 7) tips of the year 2013: Buy Advanced Computer Software at 75.75

I promised you something for everyone in my 7 tips of the year 2013 and so I now bring you a profitable, very cash generative growth stock with strong defensive qualities and great ( largely contracted) earnings visibility which is very much a growth play. It is run by a bird who is the smartest cookie in tech and has a great track record over many years and although the shares may look highly rated they, in my opinion offer 54% upside on a one year view.

29 December 2012, 00:12 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tip of the year 2 (of 7) – Buy Kryso Resources at 32p

In the vein of providing something for everybody, my second tip of the year is a gold company, AIM listed Kryso Resources (KYS) at 32p. Modestly, I should point out that I first recommended this stock at 13.25p on t1ps.com (my former website for 12 years before I started my new Nifty Fifty venture) in 2007 and so those who took that advice are already well ahead.  But the best is yet to come. Kryso is not yet a producer but by next Christmas it will be

28 December 2012, 00:11 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tip of the year 1 (of 7) – Buy S & U at 915.25p

Over the next seven days I shall serve up seven tips for 2013. There should be something for everyone. In assembling this magnificent seven I start with company fundamentals and price. But I also take into account my macro-economic assumptions for the next 12 months. And, I am sorry to say, that I am not terribly cheery. I do not see UK GDP growing rapidly. Credit will be hard to obtain and consumer spending will not be strong. As such there is some merit in starting with a solid defensive play and that brings me to fully listed S&U (SUS) at a share price of 915.25p.

28 December 2012, 00:08 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Greggs – A bad 2012, 2013 will be worse: change of stance

I have always been a fan of Greggs (GRG) the UK’s largest retailer of sausage rolls, puff pastries and all the other sort of comfort food that helped me to become a diabetic. The company has always had net cash, benefitted from operational gearing and delivered solid year on year earnings increases. But in 2012 things appeared to start to go slightly awry and the share price has fallen from 550p at the start of the year to 458p. As recently as 7th November I foreasaw a bounce ( at 470p) but I have been reviewing my assumptions about UK consumer behaviour. As such I apologise for that bad call, a volte face is on the way.I would like to buy this stock as fundamentally it is a good business serving six million Britons each week. But ....

25 December 2012, 00:03 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Aquarius Platinum – A Biblical Set of Plagues survived – now the recovery?

I have tipped fully listed ( and JSE listed) Aquarius Platinum (AQP) three times in my life: once at Red Hot Penny Shares and twice at t1ps.com. Each time we have sold and booked handsome gains but the past 12 months have seen the company have to weather a series of plagues reminiscent of a biblical torment. 

22 December 2012, 00:04 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Highland Gold: A 2013 Recovery Play?

Like many junior miners, AIM listed Highland Gold Mining (HGM) has seen its share price decimated during 2012. The stock traded at 197p at the start of the year but now sits at 91p valuing the Russian based gold producer at just shy of £300 million. Indeed during the past few weeks as folks have worried that the great bull run in the gold price is about to end the shares have lost 20%. I do not think gold is heading lower. So is Highland a recovery buy or is the sell-off only just beginning? I sense we may be close to the bottom.

21 December 2012, 00:06 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Domino’s Pizza – a buy ahead of results?

During my twelve years at t1ps.com I tipped fully listed Domino’s Pizza twice. The first time was in June 2001 at 62p – I advised selling at 693p in 2007 (a gain of 1018%). The next time I tipped the shares at 193p in July 2008. The share price is now 494p. Not a bad return for share tip given that there is a decent dividend stream on top. But now we face not only a Christmas trading statement * due out January 8th) but also full year numbers (for the 53 weeks to December 30th) which will be out on 25th February. I am a bit nervous about soft consumer spending, fearing that on the high street at least Christmas will be a washout. So what should one do with Domino’s which is today capitalised at £810 million.

20 December 2012, 00:01 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Buy Impellam after Trading Update

AIM-listed staffing and outsourced support services company, Impellam (IPEL) is a big success from my time at t1ps – the website I founded in 2000 and edited until September of this year when I departed to launch the Nifty Fifty offering. I recommended the shares on t1ps at a share price of 40p in September 2009. Today the stock trades at 315p valuing the company at £141 million after a trading update yesterday. This is still a great long term buy.

19 December 2012, 23:58 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Buy EMED at 10.375p after EGM Review

An EGM held in Toronto on December 19th has given approval for Aim and TSX listed copper mine developer EMED (EMED) to go ahead with a $50 million financing package from metals group Red Kite including a share investment at 14.8p. Shareholders have also been treated to an update on the development of the Spanish Rio Tinto project from CEO Harry Adams.

20 hours ago | By ShareProphets |

The April edition of the UK Investor Magazine is live - UK Investor Show edition

The April edition of the UK Investor Show Magazine is live featuring Metal Tiger, BMR, Harley Investments, Action Hotels and much more.

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3 days ago | By Pizza Hardman Darren Atwater |

New Bulletin Board Moron of the Week Contest - sponsored by MoneySwap

This week's contest is graciously sponsored by MoneySwap, the Filthy Forty constituent that has this week requested to be dropped from the AIM market.

7 days ago | By Malcolm Stacey |

How the Snap Election Will Affect Your Share Prices

Hello Share Pillagers. We all should have known something big was going to happen by the way shares were marked down heavily after the Easter break. On Easter Monday, when our stock market was closed, the US version was open. During that session, American shares rose by about 1%. That usually means British shares rise in tandem, but not this time.

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7 days ago | By Steve Moore |

Westminster Group – emphasises “pleased” & placing “oversubscribed”. Hmmm…

Westminster Group (WSG) “is pleased to announce a placing” (to raise a gross £1 million at 10p per share) and “the conversion of the balance of the convertible loan notes issued to Darwin Capital Ltd eliminating the facility”. The shares have though responded more than 15% lower…

7 days ago | By Steve Moore |

Distil – update on recent UK Investor Show 'Dragon's Den' selection as the shares rise again

Shares in recent UK Investor Show 'Dragon's Den' selection (at 2.15p, having also been selected last year at sub 1p), Distil (DIS) have bounced a further just over 5% on the back of a “Listing in Major UK Supermarket Chain /Tdg Update” announcement...

7 days ago | By Darren Atwater |

Video: Peter Hambro of Petropavlovsk presents at UK Investor Show 2017

In this video from the storming success that was the 2017 UK Investor Show, Peter Hambro, Chairman of Petropavlovsk (POG), is at the podium. And make sure that you keep April 21 2018 free for next year's UK Investor Show.

7 days ago | By Darren Atwater |

Video: Joe Salomon of Oilex presents at UK Investor Show 2017

In this video from the storming success that was the 2017 UK Investor Show, Joe Salomon, Managing Director of Oilex (OEX), is at the podium. And make sure that you keep April 21 2018 free for next year's UK Investor Show.

7 days ago | By Darren Atwater |

Video: Michael McNeilly, CEO of Metal Tiger, presents at UK Investor Show 2017

In this video from the storming success that was the 2017 UK Investor Show, Michael McNeilly, CEO of Metal Tiger (MTR), is at the podium. And make sure that you keep April 21 2018 free for next year's UK Investor Show.

7 days ago | By Darren Atwater |

Video: Dr Doom, David Scott, presents imminent economic collapse at UK Investor Show 2017

In this video from the storming success that was the 2017 UK Investor Show, Dr Doom, David Scott, presents imminent economic collapse. And make sure that you keep April 21 2018 free for next year's UK Investor Show.

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6 days ago | By Malcolm Stacey |

Higher Hopes for the Man from the Pru

Hello Share Troopers. I’ve long been a fan of British insurance giants. They are a chance to invest in the fast-moving financial world without too much fear of heavy fines and compensation payments for mis-selling and so on. Though, of course, there is an element of that.

7 days ago | By Steve Moore |

ASA Resource – updates on cash “unaccounted for”...

Having yesterday reported that there is strong evidence of funds “amounting to several million US dollars” being transferred to entities in China without full value being received and that “analysis reveals that there is a pressing need for cash”, ASA Resource Group (ASA) states it now “provides further information on the group's cash position”

7 days ago | By Gary Newman |

Orosur looks under-valued as gold shows continued strength

Orosur Mining (OMI) certainly isn’t amongst the more popular resource stocks on AIM and trading volumes are often verging on non-existent, but I believe that many are missing an opportunity here as they go chasing rainbows with companies that are years away from production, assuming they ever actually get to that stage!

7 days ago | By Steve Moore & Tom Winnifrith |

Veltyco - fundraise and proposed acquisitions. Hmmm...but BUY

Veltyco (VLTY) has announced a €2.55 million subscription for new shares to fund two acquisitions which it argues represent “an exciting opportunity… to grow its business by building on existing online betting brands, using its expertise in online marketing combined with award winning sportsbook technology”

7 days ago | By Steve Moore |

Lombard Risk Management – emphasises ahead of expectations, but what about sustainable cash generation?

Lombard Risk Management (LRM) has updated that it anticipates exceeding analyst consensus expectations for its year ended 31st March 2017 and “remains confident” looking ahead. What’s that though expected to be “in the region of £2.4m to £2.8m”“Adjusted EBITDA”. Hmmm…

6 days ago | By Darren Atwater |

Video: Paul Atherley, MD of Berkeley Energia, presents at UK Investor Show 2017

In this video from the storming success that was the 2017 UK Investor Show, Paul Atherley, Managing Director of Berkeley Energia (BKY), is at the podium. And make sure that you keep April 21 2018 free for next year's UK Investor Show.

6 days ago | By Darren Atwater |

Video: Richard Poulden of Wishbone Gold presents at UK Investor Show 2017

In this video from the storming success that was the 2017 UK Investor Show, Richard Poulden, CEO of Wishbone Gold (WSBN), is at the podium. And make sure that you keep April 21 2018 free for next year's UK Investor Show.

6 days ago | By Darren Atwater |

Video: Colin Bird of Xtract Resources presents at UK Investor Show 2017

In this video from the storming success that was the 2017 UK Investor Show, Colin Bird, Executive Chairman of Xtract Resources (XTR), is at the podium. And make sure that you keep April 21 2018 free for next year's UK Investor Show.

20 hours ago | By ShareProphets |

The April edition of the UK Investor Magazine is live - UK Investor Show edition

The April edition of the UK Investor Show Magazine is live featuring Metal Tiger, BMR, Harley Investments, Action Hotels and much more.

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20 hours ago | By ShareProphets |

TODAY: Patience, patience, patience and yet more patience - that is the key to making money from shares

Making money from shares is simple. Well it should be. Buy cheap. Hold. Hold. Hold. Hold, and finally sell when the shares have delivered you big gains. Where so many folks go wrong is getting impatient and not being prepared to hold, hold, hold. Let us tell you about Symphony Environmental (SYM) which we tipped at a 6.75p offer just over three years ago. It did nothing for ages....

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20 hours ago | By Darren Atwater |

2 days ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

African Potash - the legal case for victims of the fraud almost underway

Before I call it a day I want to see the victims of the African Potash (AFPO) fraud get some of their money back, even if some of those victims were fairly beastly to me as I exposed the fraud. Friday's bombshell from Potash shows the game is up but the big frauds happened before this worthless enterprise was booted off AIM. To that end I have been working to help put together a legal action. That action is now almost underway and Peter Petyt, the man running things, wrote to more than 50 victims who have come forward at the weekend. If you lost money and want to try to get it back it is not too late to contact Peter. His letter & contact details follow.

2 days ago | By Darren Atwater |

Video: Paul Scott finds Nigel Wray's and Paul Mumford's investment strategies at UK Investor Show 2017

In this video from the storming success that was the 2017 UK Investor Show, Paul Scott finds Nigel Wray's and Paul Mumford's investment strategies. And make sure that you keep April 21 2018 free for next year's UK Investor Show.

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2 days ago | By David Scott |

You are hereby on notice as retail bubbles start to pop

Artificial political constructs never last. The EU is great for the “elites” in Brussels; not so much for the average citizen and the tragedy of monetary union is that Europe's political class has gone to extreme lengths to hold the euro together regardless of underlying economic logic. But this has only perpetuated and exacerbated the coming political crisis. "Monetary union has created a conflict between a centralised elite on the one hand, and the forces of democracy at the national level on the other. This is extraordinarily dangerous,” Mervyn King wrote in his recent book 'The End of Alchemy'. 

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24 hours ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

Hell's Teeth, does Peterhouse do any due diligence at all - meet the carbon spiv hooking up with African Potash?

As I flagged up over the weekend, in a desperate attempt to keep the fraud from becoming insolvent, African Potash (AFPO) has proposed a RTO of a company called Onshore Energy Limited, OEL. Lyin' Chris Cleverley Potash's boss is also a director and shareholder on OEL. But it gets worse. Much worse.

2 days ago | By Steve Moore |

WANdisco – record contract win & Q1 update offer some further encouragement, but…

I previously wrote on WANdisco (WAND) in January – ‘one quarter does not an investment make, but offers some encouragement for shareholders’. The following updates with the shares currently on the rise on the back of a “Significant customer win and Q1 update” announcement…

24 hours ago | By Tom Winnifrith & Steve Moore |

Stanley Gibbons – sells rare Indian stamps for record £500,000

Stanley Gibbons (SGI) has announced it “has sold one of the rarest pieces of Indian Philately to a private collector-investor in Australia for £500,000, the highest price ever paid for a single Indian philatelic item”.

20 hours ago | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Filthy Forty Taihua – shares fall after GM approves delisting, but massive sudden surge today

ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty play Taihua (TAIH) announced last Friday that the EGM called to approve the company’s proposed delisting from the AIM Casino had passed the proposals with the requisite majority. The shares are expected to depart the world’s most successful (but perhaps not for Taihua) growth market first thing on 8 May. In the wake of the announcement – at 4.15pm last Friday, bordering on no-one-is-watching o’clock - the shares again nose-dived, registering a new low of 0.1p on the bid yesterday, but all of a sudden the stock is on the rampage this morning. What is going on?

21 hours ago | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Advanced Oncotherapy – more spoofery as NED buys yet more shares

AIM-listed Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) – teetering on the brink of having to call an EGM to reduce its nominal share capital under the terms of its death-spiral funding package with Bracknor – has announced yet another director share purchase, the fourth just this month (if we ignore the botched 7am RNS of 4 April). As ever, this is just a spoof in order to encourage more buying in the market so as to allow Bracknor to offload more of its death-spiral conversion shares as Advanced hopes and prays for the next £1.235 million tranche of funding before the coffers run dry.

20 hours ago | By Tom Winnifrith |

African Potash –PKF Littlejohn LLP hang your head in shame

On 12 April 2017, the fraud that is African Potash (AFPO) announced a change of auditors from RSM UK Audit LLP to PKF Littlejohn LLP. One can understand why RSM UK Audit LLP might be keen to cease its relationship with a company with the frankly appalling track record of African Potash but how desperate does PKF Littlejohn LLP look in taking on African Potash as an audit client?

24 hours ago | By Pizza Hardman Darren Atwater |

Silver Reaching a Major Inflection Point – Investors Beware!

The COT report reveals the large paper short and long positions in silver. Currently it appears to be indicating a small downtrend in the silver market. In this week's Palisade podcast David Morgan discusses how silver markets move and how they can be pushed to the downside once investors run low on cash, as banks will short the market at opportune moments.

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2 days ago | By Steve Moore |

Goals Soccer Centres – admits preliminary merger discussions, but a golden opportunity?

Goals Soccer Centres (GOAL) has admitted “preliminary discussions with key rival Powerleague on “combining the two businesses”, though emphasises that is “but one of the strategic opportunities currently being assessed by the Goals board”

21 hours ago | By Steve Moore |

Blancco Technology – “Q3 Trading Update, Cash Flow Review and Funding”. Uh oh…

An announcement from Blancco Technology Group (BLTG) entitled “Q3 Trading Update, Cash Flow Review and Funding”. Hmmm, I’d guess it ain’t gonna be positive…

2 days ago | By Darren Atwater |

Winner of the Bulletin Board moron of the Week, sponsored by MoneySwap

Truly, there are no winners from the pool of Bulletin Board morons, only those who succeed in making our eyes roll the furthest.