ShareProphets

Saturday 25 March 2017 The one stop source for free breaking news, expert analysis, and videos on AIM and LSE listed shares


26 March 2013, 23:59 | By Robert Sutherland Smith |

Astra Zeneca: reading the words and signs on annual dividends

The new CEO of Astra Zeneca Pascal Soirot (which scans with Hercule Poirot very nicely) made his promised presentation on the strategy for returning the company to profits and earnings growth on Thursday 21 March. He appeared to do that with some degree of credibility because the share price was marked up the next day. 

26 March 2013, 20:07 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Daily Mail & General Trust – Trading Statement

The Daily Mail & General Trust (DMGT) has a place in my heart. I used to work for it ( on the Evening Standard), as a freelancer the Mail on Sunday allowed me to destroy a biotech company many years ago when other papers were not so brave and, above all, my family of deluded lefties hate it with a passion. And so it has to be worth supporting. But do the maths stack up from an investment rather than an emotional case? The company has today issued a trading statement covering the five months to the end of February. I think the word that I would use to describe it was “reassuring.”

26 March 2013, 00:04 | By Robert Sutherland Smith |

United Utilities – a useful yield?

The water company United Utilities (UU.) whose equity has a £4.8 billion market capitalization has caught my attention for three reasons. First, at 709p, it has a useful historic dividend yield of 4.6%; second the share price has come close to its trend support line; third the company has just produced a well-received trading statement which put the shares better on the day.    

25 March 2013, 20:09 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Does the Budget mean that house building stocks are dangerously high?

Three weeks ago I wrote that shares in three of the UK’s biggest house builders were hugely overvalued on the basis that house prices were quite simply too high and that any correction in the value of UK house prices – which I regarded as inevitable – was not discounted. This week Chancellor Osborne announced a series of measures to boost the UK housing sector in his budget. Shares in house builders have reacted positively to that news. Are they reflecting a new reality? Should I change my tune?

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22 March 2013, 00:10 | By Robert Sutherland Smith |

BAE Systems; the plot thickens. Read on

BAE Systems (BA.) is turning into something of Alfred Hitchcock suspense thriller; pretty much what most investment analysis and stock picking exercise boil down to in the end. As with fiction’s greatest and most unforgettable investigators, casual observation and an imaginative but exquisitely logical forensic leap are needed to close a case.

21 March 2013, 00:12 | By Robert Sutherland Smith |

Close Bros: something in the City with yield

As a result of a long and recent history and despite the fact that London is a uniquely large banking and financial services centre, the investor has not got many conventional banking equity investment targets at the moment. Fortunately, that does include two banks HSBC and Standard and Chartered Bank, which remained sufficiently true to their banking inheritances to come through the great banking collapse without government assistance to provide UK investors with a direct means of investing in the growing Asian Pacific economies.

20 March 2013, 19:00 | By Steve Moore |

Greggs plc – facing an unsavoury mix of economic ingredients

Shares in Greggs plc (GRG), the FTSE 250 leading bakery retailer in the UK with more than 1,670 retail outlets throughout the land, at the time of writing trade more than 6% lower today at 492p. This follows the company’s release of results for its year to 29th December 2012. The following reviews the results and outlook for the company from here…

19 March 2013, 20:10 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Cairn Energy Full Year Results & Asset backing

FTSE 250 Listed Cairn Energy (CNE) served up calendar 2012 results today and as oil and gas companies go this has to be the easiest stock going to analyse. What I refer to is the clear tangible net asset backing. At 279.4p the market capitalisation is £1.693 billion but have a look at the asset backing.

19 March 2013, 19:00 | By Steve Moore |

Domino Printing Sciences – trading update inks valuation questions

Domino Printing Sciences (DNO), a provider of printing technologies which enable organisations internationally to meet regulatory or commercial information requirements, is another FTSE-250 constituent which has enjoyed a strong share price run – a current 700p share price comparing to 136.5p hit in November 2008 and 583p at which the shares commenced 2013. This inks the question; does there remain value here? Post a trading update, the following reviews this…

19 March 2013, 00:17 | By Robert Sutherland Smith |

Centrica: the gas man cometh with an attractive and sustainable looking dividend yield

The Centrica (CNA) share price, after peaking at 365p early this month, has come down by 4% to 350p, last seen. At that price the shares yield a near 4.7% on 2012’s recently declared annual dividend payout of 16.4p. So at that price, are they ripe for buying as a dividend yield stock that is likely to see dividends maintained and hopefully increase?

18 March 2013, 20:13 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Soco – Full Year Results – look at the cashflow

FTSE 250 listed oil Production Company Soco (SIA) operates in some pretty exotic locations – its production is in Vietnam and its exploration assets are in the sort of African hell holes you’d send your mother-in-law on holiday to. But the financial footing of the company is rock solid as calendar 2012 results published on 11th march make clear. Among the mid-cap oil explorers this shines out by dint of its cash backing and cash generation. This is not something discounted in a 399p share price and the shares should be bought as part of a balanced portfolio of oil producers.

18 March 2013, 00:18 | By Robert Sutherland Smith |

Sainsbury: get your dividends here; even better value than Tesco!

In the chemical filing cabinet that serves that as my memory, I had evidently misfiled Sainsbury under the heading ‘no dividend interest’; presumably nudged by another memorized observation that Sainsbury has been handsomely outperforming William Morrison and Tesco - which I have also recently reviewed as a dividend paying candidate. 

16 March 2013, 00:23 | By Robert Sutherland Smith |

Standard Life: A dividend stock to watch but not to buy yet

I willingly confess that I have generally found little difficulty in resisting past temptations to take a keen interest in Standard Life (SL.). Life assurance and annuities, the traditional focus of this two hundred year old company, are not the most exciting or fastest moving business activity in the world. That fact combined with the dry as dust name ‘Standard Life’ has invariably - by which I mean without variation - presented a cocktail of too dull a prospect to greet with of warm enthusiasm.

15 March 2013, 00:31 | By Robert Sutherland Smith |

Aviva – Dividend Cut but still a buy?

So now we know the answer to the question; would the management of Aviva (AV.) cut its dividend or not? They did! Investment is about probability. Earlier, having weighed things up, I explicitly  allowed for the probability that the dividend would be cut, because (a 'no brainer') the then historic yield of 7.3% discounted such a move but going on to conclude that the shares were also, in my opinion, probably a buy on that account.

14 March 2013, 00:33 | By Robert Sutherland Smith |

Admiral - is a 7.1% yield too good to be true?

There is something of the Sound of Music about the Admiral Group (ADM) dividend yield; pleasing but too good to be true?

13 March 2013, 20:16 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Kenmare Results – Bull vs Bear

Kenmare Resources (KMR) is a company that I have followed for ages. The company has from nothing managed to build a world class ilmenite mine at Mona in Mozambique. This was a penny stock. It is now , at 33p capitalised at £868 million and a member of the FTSE 250 Index. It has just released results for the year to 31st December 2012 which – following trading statements (the nice way of referring to profits warnings) were in line with guidance. But, there is always a but with Kenmare.

13 March 2013, 19:00 | By Steve Moore |

ITE Group – exhibiting value?

Shares in ITE Group (ITE), the FTSE 250 CIS, Turkey and increasingly India, South East Asia and China focused trade exhibitions and conferences organiser, have been strong recent performers – a current 279p share price up from 183.5p hit in November 2012 and 246.3p at which the shares commenced 2013. The following reviews the investment proposition here…

13 March 2013, 00:47 | By Robert Sutherland Smith |

Legal & General: insurance is a sector of dividend surprises

The great issue surrounding insurance has been, as with the banks, one of capital adequacy: do they have enough capital to sustain and carry out their contractual obligations? That has been an overriding preoccupation for European insurance industry regulators. But regulation and the things that are regulated are as a moving feast or moving goal posts on unlevel playing fields. Most recently, the regulators have been worrying about those insurance companies that have been giving guarantees to customers. One recalls what that kind of thing did to an even once older insurance company, the late and august Equitable Life, which was ordered by the High Court to pay up on promises made contractually. It has been made known that a small number of insurers are under the regulatory eye in that respect.

12 March 2013, 20:18 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Chatting to Nigel Wray – Telecom Plus still a buy

Known as Britain’s Buffett, Nigel Wray is one of the UK’s most successful investors of the past three decades. I wrote last week about how he had sold £25 million shares in Domino’s Pizza (DOM) at 525p (share he paid 36p for). I am not sure that Wray was right to sell then but you cannot really argue with such a Master Investor. Wray’s only other holding in a FTSE 250 listed stock is Telecom Plus (TEP) – which, since my last article has published an in-line trading statement.

12 March 2013, 19:00 | By Steve Moore |

Imagination Technologies – have investors envisaged the uncertainties?

Imagination Technologies (IMG), the FTSE 250 technology chip designer, has updated on trading since its 31st October 2012 half year-end. At a current 550p, the shares are massively ahead of their 33.25p November 2008 lows but down on the in excess of 700p they reached in March and April of 2012. The following reviews the company’s trading update and whether the current share price represents value…

25 March 2017, 12:10 | By Tom Winnifrith |

The March edition of the UK Investor Magazine is live - with why we fight fraud

The March edition of the UK Investor Show Magazine is live featuring 7 share tips, company profiles, interview with Richard Poulden of PCGE, why we fight fraud & fake news on Channel 4, Donald Trump, Marine Le Pen, a look at the banksters and much more.

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19 March 2017, 15:24 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Bulletin Board Moron of the Week Contest Sponsored by the FRAUD Cloudtag (again)

It has only just dawned on me that in exactly two weeks time, at 4.30 PM I shall be cracking open the ouzo to celebrate the fact that no Nomad on AIM is so desperate for cash and morally bankrupt that it will act for the fraud Cloudtag (CTAG). And there will thus be an RNS issued to say that it will be slung off the Casino. As that day looms, how will the Bulletin Board Morons spin that as good news? Happy hunting on Cloudtag threads - and others - as we ask you to nominate the most moronic BB posts or tweets in the comments section below. The deadline is midnight Sunday 19th March and, yes, Wildes our pet in-house loon - can nominate his own posts if he wishes.

21 March 2017, 14:26 | By Tom Winnifrith |

A One Off: Meet and talk 1-2-1 with Nigel Wray, the man dubbed Britain's Buffett only at UK Investor on April 1

Normally Nigel Wray turns up at UK Investor, talks and leaves. This year - our 15th anniversary party - is different. He will be there from start to finish and when not on stage that opens up a unique opportunity for those attending on April 1. For more than 40 years, Nigel , the man dubbed Britain's Buffett, has been a stockmarket legend for his ability to generate stellar returns not by wild gambling on mining punts or biotech start ups but by rigid value investing. Like the Original Buffett, the Sage of Omaha, Wray is a bottom up value investor who buys and holds. Would you like to know what he thinks is the cheapest share in London? Would you like a one to one chat with Nigel?

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19 March 2017, 10:26 | By Pizza Hardman Darren Atwater |

Notes from Underground: The Teddy Bears picnic

ShareProphets readership increases every week - we can tell because we're a registration site and if you unsubscribe, you are kicked off the site. We don't have a dead subscription list like other, lesser, sites.

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19 March 2017, 11:02 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

19 March 2017, 11:57 | By Cynical Bear |

Milestone Group: Shocking ramptastic RNS’s with just one purpose – placing anyone?

Tom and I have been pretty consistent in our criticism of lifestyle company, Milestone Group (MSG), and although it was touched upon in Friday’s Bearcast (HERE), I thought the ridiculous recent RNS’s required a bit more of a kicking. It is an appalling effort with one sole purpose, to try to seduce new mug punters into supporting this useless company.

20 March 2017, 08:18 | By Malcolm Stacey |

How the Weak Oil Price Threatens the Footsie's Perky Progress

Hello Share Twirlers. Though the Footsie has been striding ahead, it would have done far better if the oil price had behaved itself. We are not just talking oil shares, but the whole of the share economy. A weak oil price has a negative effect all round.

19 March 2017, 13:13 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Precious Metals Video Update: Short-Term Upside But How Much?

In this video Jordan Roy-Byrne of Palisade discusses the short-term upside potential in gold stocks and the key resistance levels. It would be a good sign for miners if they can test their February highs. Otherwise, the sector would remain in a trading range.

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19 March 2017, 13:14 | By Gary Newman |

Is it worth giving Chariot another chance?

Chariot Oil and Gas (CHAR) has begun to get my attention again recently as it has plenty going on operationally during the next year or so, and could well become a popular share to be in once again.

19 March 2017, 14:19 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Stuttard’s Septic Seven – March update (or is that down-date?)

Marcus Stuttard, as head of AIM, completely trusts and supports the regulatory framework of the world’s most successful growth market. As such, and ever keen to help, ShareProphets put together a beautifully diversified portfolio of AIM-listed stocks for him, so that he could demonstrate his faith in the system he oversees by investing in stocks which we have Red Flagged. How better than to put his money where his mouth is to show us that there is nothing wrong. Last time I revisited the portfolio it was down by some 23%. If that had Mr Stuttard feeling a bit queasy, he had better look away now….

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19 March 2017, 15:23 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - Theresa May forgets the wise words of Ronald Reagan at her peril

In today's podcast I look at Peak Club - the mad debt binge at Soho House and what it tells us about asset bubbles and more. Then I cover Theresa May's misguided proposals on executive pay before finally covering the latest boardroom antics at Bowleven (BLVN) , putting it up for sale.

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19 March 2017, 15:13 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

Servision – AIM Rule 26 webpage almost a year out of date, and where is Cascade TR-1?

AIM-listed Servision (SEV) still looks to be a story too good to be true. With the company scraping by on boardroom emergency loans and running out of cash, along comes Cascade which agrees to pump in boat-loads of cash at more than 400% of the prevailing share price. We have been told that the first tranche of shares has now been issued (and, indeed, admitted to trading on the Casino), and the cash received. But we’ve not had a TR-1. And why is the company’s AIM Rule 26 major shareholdings web-page almost a year out of date?

19 March 2017, 15:20 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Jason Drummond's Gametech: Heading for administration but is it all what it seems?

Four days before Christmas I revealed that after Teathers Financial (TEA), the next venture of Jason Drummond, Gametech, was planning a listing on NEX Markets c/o London's worst financial adviser/Nomad Mr Roland "Fatty" Cornish. Wind forward and the Court filing below suggests that it is on the brink of bankruptcy. But is all it seems?

20 March 2017, 08:26 | By Gary Newman |

Zinc Media looks expensive based on latest financials

Small AIM outfit Zinc Media (ZIN) released its interim results last week and trumpeted that it is continuing to move in the right direction, but I would question whether the turnaround is happening fast enough to make the shares attractive.

20 March 2017, 08:27 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Milestone Group – a lifestyle business for Deborah White: the hard data

I think Deborah White of Milestone Group (MSG) should be fired and then made to to a perp walk for her blatant breach of AIM rules with regard to non disclosure of price sensitive information. But there is another reason to hand Debs a p45 today...her stunning record of non delivery. It is worth chronicling just how bad it is.

20 March 2017, 11:14 | By Steve Moore |

CAP-XX – interims argue “excellent progress”, but financials look CrAP (XX)

Self-described “world leader in the design and manufacture of supercapacitors, which considerably extend the performance of batteries”, CAP-XX (CPX) has announced results including that it “has again made excellent progress over the six months to 31 December 2016 and beyond in building on and refining its strategy”. Sounds positive. What? The shares currently 16% lower, at 8.5p?!?…

20 March 2017, 09:52 | By Nigel Somerville, the Deputy Sheriff of AIM |

China FRAUD Aquatic Foods Q4 update: drowning in a sea of Red Flags

ShareProphets AIM-China Filthy Forty purveyor of all things fishy, Aquatic Foods (AFG), has updated on 2016 Q4 trading this morning. In a statement plastered with Red Flags it would appear that the company is nearing the final chapter of the China Norfolk playbook as we are warned that there has been a spot of bother getting cash out of China. Is it bye-bye to the dividend? 

25 March 2017, 12:10 | By Tom Winnifrith |

The March edition of the UK Investor Magazine is live - with why we fight fraud

The March edition of the UK Investor Show Magazine is live featuring 7 share tips, company profiles, interview with Richard Poulden of PCGE, why we fight fraud & fake news on Channel 4, Donald Trump, Marine Le Pen, a look at the banksters and much more.

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25 March 2017, 12:12 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Bulletin Board Moron of the Week Sponsored by London South East

Well this is a company that will sponsor any old crap and let's face it, 95% of Bulletin Board Morons post on the LSE Asylum. As the countdown to the fraud Cloudtag (CTAG) being booted off AIM next week accelerates you kind of sense which stock will be the focus of most entries. The competition rules are simple. Just nominate the daftest post on a BB or on twitter in the comments section below. Once again, our in-house semi-trained loon Wildes is allowed to nominate his own posts. The deadline for entries is midnight on Sunday 26th March. Post away!

24 March 2017, 08:07 | By Tom Winnifrith |

David Buik of Panmure - not sure if your tweet is shameful or just pointless

David Buik is one of those City grandees you are not allowed to criticise. It is like having a go at the late Queen Mum or beating baby seals to death. In that vein he sent out a wteet today which is wrong but I am not sure why exactly.

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23 March 2017, 14:29 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Paternoster Resources why cheap could be incredibly expensive

I comment on the hopeless response of smug MPs and the established media to yesterday's terror attack on my own website in a podcast HERE. On the markets I look at expectations management at Next (NXT), at how we know or knew about the balance sheet at Toople (TOOP) covered HERE by Cynical Bear or Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) heading for 0p and covered in detail by me earlier HERE. I look at Public Services Properties (PSPI ) and what its AIM casino departure says about RTOs and contingent liabilities - which reminds me again of New World Oil & Gas (NEW). Finally I have a detailed look at the strange world of Paternoster Resources (PRS), not a stock you have to own in any way. PS Cynical Bear is not me. Can you see any typos in his articles?

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24 March 2017, 15:37 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: You cannot finesse & trade fundamentals: ref Minoan & Wishbone

The Mrs (on maternity leave) is off galavanting somewhere. Eight days ahead of UK Investor, the busiest time of the year, I am babysitting. I am such a god damn frigging feminist. Anyhow I record this in terror lest Joshua wakes up. In today's podcast I explain why you cannot finesse a trade on a fundamental play and discuss Minoan (MIN) and Wishbone (WSBN) in that vein. I look at Digital Barriers (DGB) the latest triumph from Cloudtag (CTAG) moron in chief Liam Nichols. I discuss Tethys (RPL) which like Cloudtag is soon to leave the AIM Casino, Nyota (NYO) and London Capital (LCG).

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24 March 2017, 11:11 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Management Resource Solutions holds gun to head of poor shareholders

When running Broken Hill Resources (BHR) into the ground Murray D'Almeida threatened shareholders to vote for a crap deal at a GM or face wipe-out. Despite the infamous hairdresser sham placing, shareholders voted against Murray and his colleagues on the "screw you - we hate you so much" principle. Now with D'Almeida pulling strings at Management Resource Solutions (MRS) as a consultant - to avoid GM eviction shame see HERE - the same threat is being used.

24 March 2017, 08:07 | By Tom Winnifrith & Darren Atwater |

Yet another Cloudtag Countdown clock - how long till the Fady Lady sings?

If no Nomad is prepared to act for the FRAUD Cloudtag (CTAG) then its shares, now suspended, will be booted off the AIM Casino. No AIM = no death spiral funding so it will - very soon - run out of, other people's cash, and will go bust. But the first step is being booted off AIM. And, inspired by liar Amit Ben Haim, we have a useful countdown clock until that ouzo moment. Enjoy.

25 March 2017, 12:13 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Tom Winnifrith: The Top short sellers, bears and fraudbusters all together on April 1 - don't miss out

You might hate bear raiders. You might think that short selling is unethical. But what you cannot argue with is that ignoring men such as Evil Knievil when they sniff out a fraud or accounting malpractice will cost you a packet. At last year's UK Investor Show the Country's top bears did a detailed presention on AIM darling Avanti Communications, one of the AIM companies most beloved by professional fund managers. Since that warning Avanti shares have collapsed by more than 90%. This year the bears have new targets.

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24 March 2017, 08:07 | By Malcolm Stacey |

How to Make Money on Full-Year Results - If You Dare

Hello Sharemates. As predicted on this glorious website some time ago, the share price of IQE (IQE) would fall on reporting day - and then recover. In the event when the figures were revealed on Tuesday, the shares fell by about 12%. This was not logical, as the results were rather perky, as I outlined at the time.

23 March 2017, 14:28 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Twitter Investment Genius Caption Contest

The fellow or lady from the Costa del Crime is yet to tweet but he (or she) has a cracking portfolio as you can see on his/her profile, headed up by the fraud Cloudatag (CTAG). In light of that I wonder if you would care to suggest a first tweet as our caption contest with a twist. Submit your entries in the comments section below. The deadline is midnight tonight, 23rd March

24 March 2017, 14:03 | By Steve Moore |

Flowgroup – energy supply business disposal & microCHP boiler production updates

Writing last month on Flowgroup (FLOW) I noted the shares down below 6p, having been 25p+ less than a year ago. Having fallen further, to sub 4p, they have currently recovered to 5p following a couple of recent announcements…

24 March 2017, 08:07 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Gametech Beer & Popcorn time: Drummond vs Skelhorn, the latter bites back with a vengeance

The demise of Gametech PLC the next venture of Jason Drummond after the Teather's (TEA) debacle looks clear - so much for a stockmarket float care of London's worst Nomad Roland "Fatty" Cornish. We revealed the Gametech was heading for tits up town HERE last week. Now Mr Drummond's apparent arch enemy Richard Skelhorn has bitten back with an official statement relating to that article:

24 March 2017, 11:10 | By Steve Moore |

Digital Barriers – trading warning (you were warned). Timberrrrrr…

Shares in surveillance technology company Digital Barriers (DGB) are currently more than 17.5% lower, at 25.5p, on the back of a “Trading Update” announcement. Trading warning ahoy! You were warned

24 March 2017, 11:09 | By HotStockRockets |

ECR Minerals - New Aussie Gold license, things are starting to bubble

With funds replenished by the recent placing the new management team at ECR Minerals (ECR) is - as predicted - not hanging around. The shares are well up on our share tip  at a 1.7p offer, at 1.9p-2.05p. If you can get stock at 1.9p you should do so - our target to sell remains 2.5p+ and we expect to be there soon. The newsflow is only just starting.

23 March 2017, 14:25 | By Steve Moore |

Solid State – full-year trading update, what does “broadly in line” mean here?

Specialist electronic equipment manufacturer and components distributor Solid State (SOLI) has made a “Trading Update” announcement – and the following reviews with the shares currently more than 10% lower, at around 450p, in response…

25 March 2017, 10:43 | By Tom Winnifrith |

Shore Cap on Amryt at 18.5p - target price increased from 35p to 88p!

Shore cap is House broker to Amryt Pharma (AMYT) so everything it writes cannot be said to be any way shape or form impartial. And since we own a shed load of the shares we are biased as hell too. Having said that this note is detailed and lifting the target price from 35p to 88p in light of recent news is pretty dramatic given that the shares were 18.5p on Friday when this "most excellent" research note came out.

25 March 2017, 12:07 | By Tom Winnifrith, The Sheriff of AIM |

Crown Ocean slams the management of Bowleven - makes very serious allegations

I have just noted that my old pal "thirsty" David Bick is doing the PR for hedge fund Crown Ocean in its battle to oust the shamed, discredited and unwanted board and management at Bowleven (BLVN). If you are in a scrap with utter scumbags having Bick on your side is no bad thing as he is the king of this form of trench warfare, gutter warfare. Team Crown issued a statement on Friday which is damning. You will remember that the management of Bowleven is still in place despite shareholders voting most of the bastards off the board and now they are trying to flog the company. Crown - quite correctly - smells a monstrous rat. It states:

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