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OCDO
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Why I am happy to keep on avoiding AO World and Ocado shares (and more)

I have two disclosures to make today. The first is that I have just purchased a new computer. It won’t surprise to know that it is yet another ASUS Chromebook and, after a thorough review of all the potential sellers out there, I purchased from Currys (CURY) and not its competitor AO World (AO.), which I see offered the hope of a profits upgrade in its update today.
Moneytree
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The cost of smoking by country - there are some great smuggling arbs here

A pack of 20 costs 25.43 Euro in Australia. Who on earth can afford to smoke down under. Given that a packet of 20 is only 2.11 Euro in Indonesia I can see a great arb if you have no qualms about breaking the law. I bet there is a roaring trade in "under the counter" fags in Oz. The table below is fascinating.
DOTD
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Recent pullback in the dotDigital share price offers a buying opportunity ahead of the interim results

DotDigital (DOTD) is very much outside of my usual sectors, but is a company that I’ve followed for well over a decade, and during that time it has done rather well. So do I buy the shares now? .
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - the problem with sacking people, the 3 xs

No this is not a reference to Darren after the glitch on the earlier bullcast. It is a reference to Versarien (VRS). I explain why today's Umbro based ramping video is just so much hooey and a sell signal not a buy one. Then it is onto young journalists and the problems they face, Jamie Nimmo eulogising Dan Wagner with some PR puffery in the Sunday Times. Finally why Avacta (AVCT) is such a compelling short.
DEMG

Deltex Medical – convertible loan notes extension, but still cash concerns?

Medical technology group Deltex (DEMG) “is pleased to announce that the repayment date of the £1.1 million convertible loan notes in the company has been extended from 26 February 2024 to 30 June 2026”. Good news from a 1.15p share price, £8 million market capitalisation?
DCTA

Directa Plus – argues recent “strong performance”, but how strong really?

Describing itself as “a leading producer and supplier of graphene nanoplatelets based products for use in consumer and industrial markets”, Directa Plus (DCTA) has announced that it “now expects revenues for FY22 to be not less than €10.8m, as a result of a strong performance in December, which represents a c.25% increase on the prior year” and that there is current “robust growth across all verticals supported by a strengthening pipeline of potential opportunities”. So what of a share price presently up to 86p?
Bull
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Tom Winnifrith podcast share tip

This is a bonus podcast. This tip is a share which I expect to more than double within a year and could be a five or even ten bagger on a three year view. And of course I mean the 27th not 25th.
FWD
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Forward Partners – a 2021 IPO dog or a very cheap AIM stock?

The last time I looked at Forward Partners (FWD) , an investment company specialising in unlisted tech plays was on the first anniversary of its AIM IPO, that is to say in July 2022, when I, not for the first time, poured scorn on the enterprise HERE. At that stage the shares had slumped from 100p to 45p. Today after a dismal trading statement the shares are 37p - a £50 million market cap. The 2022 year end NAV was 71p so is this a chance to buy?
HERC
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Hercules Site Services – emphasises “support from new and existing investors”, why the placing discount that dare not speak its name then?

Describing itself as “a leading technology enabled labour supply company for the UK infrastructure sector”, Hercules Site Services (HERC) states that it “has experienced a strong start to trading in FY 2023. With this in mind, the net proceeds of the placing will be used to provide working capital to support the continued organic growth of the company's Labour Supply division” and boasts that “the placing received support from new and existing investors, including two of the company's largest shareholders”. So a good price then in relation to a prior close 72p share price?
VAST
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Vast Resources explicitly warns yet another placing needed: only 1?

With the last placing just 21 days ago, serial AIM dog Vast Resources (VAST) has today warned that it will be doing another placing. This is a company that has done more placings over the years than I have had inappropriate thoughts about Cheryl Cole. Yes! That many! And that is one reason why its shares are 98% down over 16 years.
BNZL
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Bunzl has been a great business for cautious investors after thirty years of rising dividend payments, but…

As a boring (predominately) large cap global investor, it has perhaps been a bit of a surprise that it took me years to warm to FTSE 100 company Bunzl (BNZL), which describes itself as a “multinational distribution and outsourcing company”, which has banged out thirty years of rising dividends. A few months ago, I observed I thought it would be smart to “wake me up if Bunzl shares fall back below a 26 quid price (again)”. That has not happened and today the shares are kicking around above a thirty quid share price. Time for me to get (finally) more excited or not?

GILD
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Guild Esports – explaining a material uncertainty statement as it spoofs ahead of the bailout placing

Another day and another ramptastic announcement from Guild Esports (GILD). Of course it is nothing news but that is not the point. As it tried so hard to hide from investors, until I flushed it out on January 31, the company is running on vapours and needs to do a placing pronto (indeed it lied to its auditors and said one was already underway to get audit sign off) to avoid a duet with the Fat Lady.
REL

This Business Know-How Wizard could Magic Up a Still Higher Share Price

Hello Share Swipers. There are some giant companies not as well known to investors as others. That's often because they deal with trade rather than the public at large. One such outfit is Footsie member RELX (REL).
Bearcast
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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: At what point does Flip Flop admit he has failed? Prepping for a Bluebird Meeting

I start with a bit of macro-political stuff but that does relate directly to a) Gary's tip today and b) my muted enthusiasm for UK PLC shares. Then it is onto Kavango Resources (KAV), seemingly moving goalposts to avoid accusations of failure. Finally Colin Patterson of Bluebird Merchant Ventures (BMV) popped in after this recording. FWIW, after the meeting I conclude that the shares are a VERY STRONG BUY.
HBR
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Harbour Energy has great long term potential and is trading too cheaply - buy

If you still see a future for North Sea oil and gas, as I do, then I think Harbour Energy (HBR) is definitely worth a look at the current price, and also has the advantage of having interests in other parts of the world.
Professor
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Sunday Long Reads: West lives on in Afghanistan, Illegal Gold Mines, Conspiracies, Apocalypse Meow, Deadly Countertops

Here are five long reads that have nothing to do with shares. Put the kettle on, find a comfy chair. You have the time, don't you?

RR
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Is it time to sell some of my Rolls-Royce shares?

Just before Christmas last year, I told you all to keep on holding my full year 2022 tip, Rolls-Royce (RR.). The tip had not worked well for me in 2022, having fallen from a c. 120p start of year level to nearer a quid at the end of the year. And the market angst in September and October 2022 had taken it down even lower to a c. 75p level. However, I felt that prospects for the world of commercial aerospace, defence and nuclear matters (among others) were getting better…and now last Friday’s share price close was just over 138p a share.
Wolf-of-Wall-Street

Visual Aid: The Fallen of the Second World War

For the weekend visual aid I usually pull out something in the somewhere in the realm of investing: trends in energy, inflation, most-popular pop culture. This is not that. It's an astounding visualization of the deaths of civilians and military in the Second World War. It's 18 minutes, but doesn't seem that way.

Gold
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The View From The Montana Log-Cabin As Gold Tests $1800

Gold closed the week at $1811 – down again on last week’s $1842 and now testing the $1800 line described as being fairly critical in the short term by our favourite technical analyst, Jordan Roy-Byrne of TheDailyGold.com. It is going to be an interesting week or two ahead….
Quiz
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It’s the Sunday ShareProphets Pub Quiz for Feb 26

The newly rebuilt Sunday ShareProphets Pub Quiz has withstood the week. If you have not competed before, now is the time. There are no prizes!  And remember, no Googling!

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Bearcast issue update: all should be well

 

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Oracle Power: Cynical Foul

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